Japan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara stated in May 2026 that Tokyo is analyzing U.S. PURSUE-released UAP files, including incidents near Japanese airspace, while coordinating with allies, yet any domestic disclosure would proceed only on a case-by-case basis after weighing risks to intelligence capabilities. No national UAP declassification program, legislative mandate, or scheduled release has been announced through September 2026. A cross-party parliamentary group proposed centralized data handling under the Cabinet Secretariat, and Japan established a National Intelligence Bureau in July, but these steps have produced no new public files on unexplained aerial phenomena. Traders therefore price an implied 92.5% probability against any qualifying Japanese government release by year-end, reflecting the absence of binding commitments or procedural triggers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8% 概率
$11,397 交易量
$11,397 交易量
2026-12-31
8% 概率
$11,397 交易量
$11,397 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Japan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara stated in May 2026 that Tokyo is analyzing U.S. PURSUE-released UAP files, including incidents near Japanese airspace, while coordinating with allies, yet any domestic disclosure would proceed only on a case-by-case basis after weighing risks to intelligence capabilities. No national UAP declassification program, legislative mandate, or scheduled release has been announced through September 2026. A cross-party parliamentary group proposed centralized data handling under the Cabinet Secretariat, and Japan established a National Intelligence Bureau in July, but these steps have produced no new public files on unexplained aerial phenomena. Traders therefore price an implied 92.5% probability against any qualifying Japanese government release by year-end, reflecting the absence of binding commitments or procedural triggers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 4:42 PM ET
交易量
$11,397结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 4:42 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Japan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara stated in May 2026 that Tokyo is analyzing U.S. PURSUE-released UAP files, including incidents near Japanese airspace, while coordinating with allies, yet any domestic disclosure would proceed only on a case-by-case basis after weighing risks to intelligence capabilities. No national UAP declassification program, legislative mandate, or scheduled release has been announced through September 2026. A cross-party parliamentary group proposed centralized data handling under the Cabinet Secretariat, and Japan established a National Intelligence Bureau in July, but these steps have produced no new public files on unexplained aerial phenomena. Traders therefore price an implied 92.5% probability against any qualifying Japanese government release by year-end, reflecting the absence of binding commitments or procedural triggers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$11,397结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 4:42 PM ETJapan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara stated in May 2026 that Tokyo is analyzing U.S. PURSUE-released UAP files, including incidents near Japanese airspace, while coordinating with allies, yet any domestic disclosure would proceed only on a case-by-case basis after weighing risks to intelligence capabilities. No national UAP declassification program, legislative mandate, or scheduled release has been announced through September 2026. A cross-party parliamentary group proposed centralized data handling under the Cabinet Secretariat, and Japan established a National Intelligence Bureau in July, but these steps have produced no new public files on unexplained aerial phenomena. Traders therefore price an implied 92.5% probability against any qualifying Japanese government release by year-end, reflecting the absence of binding commitments or procedural triggers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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