Recent July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, matching consensus and down from 3.5% in June, has anchored near-term expectations for August amid modest monthly gains in shelter and core components. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place headline inflation at 3.36% for the month, reflecting cooling energy prices offset by persistent tariff-related pressures on goods and a stable labor market. Trader positioning clusters on 3.3–3.4% outcomes because monthly volatility in food, energy, and housing categories creates tight resolution bands, while broader forecasts highlight risks of upside surprises from fiscal and trade dynamics. The August report, scheduled for September 11, remains the key catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于3.4% 38%
3.3% 28%
3.5% 17%
3.6% 7%
≤2.9%
3%
3.0%
4%
3.1%
2%
3.2%
5%
3.3%
28%
3.4%
38%
3.5%
17%
3.6%
7%
3.7%
5%
3.8%
5%
3.9%
3%
≥4.0%
2%
3.4% 38%
3.3% 28%
3.5% 17%
3.6% 7%
≤2.9%
3%
3.0%
4%
3.1%
2%
3.2%
5%
3.3%
28%
3.4%
38%
3.5%
17%
3.6%
7%
3.7%
5%
3.8%
5%
3.9%
3%
≥4.0%
2%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, matching consensus and down from 3.5% in June, has anchored near-term expectations for August amid modest monthly gains in shelter and core components. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place headline inflation at 3.36% for the month, reflecting cooling energy prices offset by persistent tariff-related pressures on goods and a stable labor market. Trader positioning clusters on 3.3–3.4% outcomes because monthly volatility in food, energy, and housing categories creates tight resolution bands, while broader forecasts highlight risks of upside surprises from fiscal and trade dynamics. The August report, scheduled for September 11, remains the key catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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