Persistently tight U.S. cattle supplies, at 75-year lows following years of herd liquidation, have driven retail ground beef prices to a near-record average of $6.74 per pound in February 2026 per BLS data, up 22% year-over-year. USDA's February Food Price Outlook forecasts beef prices rising 5.5% in 2026 (prediction interval -2.7% to 14.4%), with production dipping to 25.81 billion pounds amid sluggish rebuilding and robust lean imports supporting ground beef blends. The March 20 Cattle on Feed report revealed 11.55 million head on feedlots—slightly below year-ago levels—while February placements rose 4%, signaling ongoing supply constraints against resilient demand. Polymarket traders' consensus prices in supply-demand imbalances; key catalysts include April BLS March pricing release, monthly WASDE reports, and summer grilling season demand.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
2026-12-31
7.000美元以上
62%
8.000美元+
39%
$9.000+
31%
10.000美元以上
29%
$12 交易量
7.000美元以上
$1 交易量
62%
8.000美元+
$4 交易量
39%
$9.000+
$3 交易量
31%
10.000美元以上
$3 交易量
29%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Persistently tight U.S. cattle supplies, at 75-year lows following years of herd liquidation, have driven retail ground beef prices to a near-record average of $6.74 per pound in February 2026 per BLS data, up 22% year-over-year. USDA's February Food Price Outlook forecasts beef prices rising 5.5% in 2026 (prediction interval -2.7% to 14.4%), with production dipping to 25.81 billion pounds amid sluggish rebuilding and robust lean imports supporting ground beef blends. The March 20 Cattle on Feed report revealed 11.55 million head on feedlots—slightly below year-ago levels—while February placements rose 4%, signaling ongoing supply constraints against resilient demand. Polymarket traders' consensus prices in supply-demand imbalances; key catalysts include April BLS March pricing release, monthly WASDE reports, and summer grilling season demand.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$12结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Persistently tight U.S. cattle supplies, at 75-year lows following years of herd liquidation, have driven retail ground beef prices to a near-record average of $6.74 per pound in February 2026 per BLS data, up 22% year-over-year. USDA's February Food Price Outlook forecasts beef prices rising 5.5% in 2026 (prediction interval -2.7% to 14.4%), with production dipping to 25.81 billion pounds amid sluggish rebuilding and robust lean imports supporting ground beef blends. The March 20 Cattle on Feed report revealed 11.55 million head on feedlots—slightly below year-ago levels—while February placements rose 4%, signaling ongoing supply constraints against resilient demand. Polymarket traders' consensus prices in supply-demand imbalances; key catalysts include April BLS March pricing release, monthly WASDE reports, and summer grilling season demand.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$12结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistently tight U.S. cattle supplies, at 75-year lows following years of herd liquidation, have driven retail ground beef prices to a near-record average of $6.74 per pound in February 2026 per BLS data, up 22% year-over-year. USDA's February Food Price Outlook forecasts beef prices rising 5.5% in 2026 (prediction interval -2.7% to 14.4%), with production dipping to 25.81 billion pounds amid sluggish rebuilding and robust lean imports supporting ground beef blends. The March 20 Cattle on Feed report revealed 11.55 million head on feedlots—slightly below year-ago levels—while February placements rose 4%, signaling ongoing supply constraints against resilient demand. Polymarket traders' consensus prices in supply-demand imbalances; key catalysts include April BLS March pricing release, monthly WASDE reports, and summer grilling season demand.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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