China's 2026 consumer price index is tracking toward a modest annual rate, with recent monthly prints easing to 0.5% year-on-year in July after averaging near 1.0% in the first half. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, subdued household consumption, and ongoing property-sector adjustment continue to limit broad-based price pressures, while ample manufacturing capacity and food-price deflation exert further downward influence. Earlier imported cost pressures from global energy prices have moderated, though fiscal and monetary support for consumption and strategic sectors provides a mild counterbalance. Analyst projections cluster around 0.6–0.9%, consistent with trader consensus favoring the 0.6–1.0% range as the most probable full-year outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0.6 – 1.0% 60%
0.1 – 0.5% 18.9%
1.1 – 1.5% 11%
2.0-2.4% 4.9%
$73,976 交易量
$73,976 交易量
2027-01-09
<-1.0%
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
3%
0.1 – 0.5%
19%
0.6 – 1.0%
60%
1.1 – 1.5%
11%
1.6–2.0%
4%
2.0-2.4%
5%
2.5%以上
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 60%
0.1 – 0.5% 18.9%
1.1 – 1.5% 11%
2.0-2.4% 4.9%
$73,976 交易量
$73,976 交易量
2027-01-09
<-1.0%
$19,736 交易量
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$3,327 交易量
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$4,597 交易量
3%
0.1 – 0.5%
$5,172 交易量
19%
0.6 – 1.0%
$9,047 交易量
60%
1.1 – 1.5%
$14,412 交易量
11%
1.6–2.0%
$6,462 交易量
4%
2.0-2.4%
$7,879 交易量
5%
2.5%以上
$3,344 交易量
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China's 2026 consumer price index is tracking toward a modest annual rate, with recent monthly prints easing to 0.5% year-on-year in July after averaging near 1.0% in the first half. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, subdued household consumption, and ongoing property-sector adjustment continue to limit broad-based price pressures, while ample manufacturing capacity and food-price deflation exert further downward influence. Earlier imported cost pressures from global energy prices have moderated, though fiscal and monetary support for consumption and strategic sectors provides a mild counterbalance. Analyst projections cluster around 0.6–0.9%, consistent with trader consensus favoring the 0.6–1.0% range as the most probable full-year outcome.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
市场开放时间： Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
交易量
$73,976结束日期
2027-01-10市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETThis is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China's 2026 consumer price index is tracking toward a modest annual rate, with recent monthly prints easing to 0.5% year-on-year in July after averaging near 1.0% in the first half. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, subdued household consumption, and ongoing property-sector adjustment continue to limit broad-based price pressures, while ample manufacturing capacity and food-price deflation exert further downward influence. Earlier imported cost pressures from global energy prices have moderated, though fiscal and monetary support for consumption and strategic sectors provides a mild counterbalance. Analyst projections cluster around 0.6–0.9%, consistent with trader consensus favoring the 0.6–1.0% range as the most probable full-year outcome.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
交易量
$73,976结束日期
2027-01-10市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETChina's 2026 consumer price index is tracking toward a modest annual rate, with recent monthly prints easing to 0.5% year-on-year in July after averaging near 1.0% in the first half. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, subdued household consumption, and ongoing property-sector adjustment continue to limit broad-based price pressures, while ample manufacturing capacity and food-price deflation exert further downward influence. Earlier imported cost pressures from global energy prices have moderated, though fiscal and monetary support for consumption and strategic sectors provides a mild counterbalance. Analyst projections cluster around 0.6–0.9%, consistent with trader consensus favoring the 0.6–1.0% range as the most probable full-year outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题