Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, slightly below consensus expectations of 54.5 yet marking the 25th consecutive month of expansion above 50, anchors trader views for the August reading amid a resilient services sector. Stronger-than-expected July manufacturing PMI at 55.6, combined with steady new orders and business activity, supports probabilities clustered around the 53–57 range, while persistent concerns over inflation, mortgage rates, and energy costs introduce downside risks that elevate the sub-50.0 outcome to 25.5 percent. Closely matched odds across bins reflect balanced assessments of labor market stability, consumer spending trends, and any early August indicators ahead of the September 3 release, underscoring uncertainty in the services expansion trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于58.0+ 100%
56.0–56.9 27%
<50.0 26%
57.0–57.9 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
<50.0
26%
50.0–50.9
25%
51.0–51.9
25%
52.0–52.9
25%
53.0–53.9
25%
54.0–54.9
25%
55.0–55.9
25%
56.0–56.9
27%
57.0–57.9
26%
58.0+
100%
58.0+ 100%
56.0–56.9 27%
<50.0 26%
57.0–57.9 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
<50.0
$0 交易量
26%
50.0–50.9
$0 交易量
25%
51.0–51.9
$0 交易量
25%
52.0–52.9
$0 交易量
25%
53.0–53.9
$0 交易量
25%
54.0–54.9
$0 交易量
25%
55.0–55.9
$0 交易量
25%
56.0–56.9
$0 交易量
27%
57.0–57.9
$0 交易量
26%
58.0+
$0 交易量
100%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, slightly below consensus expectations of 54.5 yet marking the 25th consecutive month of expansion above 50, anchors trader views for the August reading amid a resilient services sector. Stronger-than-expected July manufacturing PMI at 55.6, combined with steady new orders and business activity, supports probabilities clustered around the 53–57 range, while persistent concerns over inflation, mortgage rates, and energy costs introduce downside risks that elevate the sub-50.0 outcome to 25.5 percent. Closely matched odds across bins reflect balanced assessments of labor market stability, consumer spending trends, and any early August indicators ahead of the September 3 release, underscoring uncertainty in the services expansion trajectory.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETThis is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, slightly below consensus expectations of 54.5 yet marking the 25th consecutive month of expansion above 50, anchors trader views for the August reading amid a resilient services sector. Stronger-than-expected July manufacturing PMI at 55.6, combined with steady new orders and business activity, supports probabilities clustered around the 53–57 range, while persistent concerns over inflation, mortgage rates, and energy costs introduce downside risks that elevate the sub-50.0 outcome to 25.5 percent. Closely matched odds across bins reflect balanced assessments of labor market stability, consumer spending trends, and any early August indicators ahead of the September 3 release, underscoring uncertainty in the services expansion trajectory.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETRecent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, slightly below consensus expectations of 54.5 yet marking the 25th consecutive month of expansion above 50, anchors trader views for the August reading amid a resilient services sector. Stronger-than-expected July manufacturing PMI at 55.6, combined with steady new orders and business activity, supports probabilities clustered around the 53–57 range, while persistent concerns over inflation, mortgage rates, and energy costs introduce downside risks that elevate the sub-50.0 outcome to 25.5 percent. Closely matched odds across bins reflect balanced assessments of labor market stability, consumer spending trends, and any early August indicators ahead of the September 3 release, underscoring uncertainty in the services expansion trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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