Trader consensus positions 1.5-2.0% as the leading outcome for Mexico Q3 2026 GDP growth, reflecting expectations of moderate expansion amid weak domestic demand and external headwinds. Full-year 2026 forecasts from the IMF, OECD, and Reuters polls center near 1.1-1.6%, revised lower in July due to protracted USMCA negotiations beyond the July 1 deadline, which have weighed on private investment and business confidence. Q2 2026 annual growth reached 2.2% year-over-year, but leading indicators point to a slowdown as gross fixed capital formation contracted and core inflation remains sticky near 4%. Banxico held its policy rate at 6.5% after concluding its easing cycle, supporting limited monetary stimulus. Strong FDI inflows from nearshoring provide some offset, yet analysts highlight risks from U.S. demand fluctuations and persistent uncertainty as key swing factors for quarterly readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.5-2.0% 45%
2.0-2.5% 15%
2.5-3.0% 12%
1.0-1.5% 11%
最新
最新
2026-10-30
<0.5%
5%
0.5-1.0%
5%
1.0-1.5%
11%
1.5-2.0%
45%
2.0-2.5%
15%
2.5-3.0%
12%
3.0-3.5%
5%
3.5%+
5%
1.5-2.0% 45%
2.0-2.5% 15%
2.5-3.0% 12%
1.0-1.5% 11%
最新
最新
2026-10-30
<0.5%
$144 交易量
5%
0.5-1.0%
$143 交易量
5%
1.0-1.5%
$163 交易量
11%
1.5-2.0%
$516 交易量
45%
2.0-2.5%
$143 交易量
15%
2.5-3.0%
$245 交易量
12%
3.0-3.5%
$143 交易量
5%
3.5%+
$143 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus positions 1.5-2.0% as the leading outcome for Mexico Q3 2026 GDP growth, reflecting expectations of moderate expansion amid weak domestic demand and external headwinds. Full-year 2026 forecasts from the IMF, OECD, and Reuters polls center near 1.1-1.6%, revised lower in July due to protracted USMCA negotiations beyond the July 1 deadline, which have weighed on private investment and business confidence. Q2 2026 annual growth reached 2.2% year-over-year, but leading indicators point to a slowdown as gross fixed capital formation contracted and core inflation remains sticky near 4%. Banxico held its policy rate at 6.5% after concluding its easing cycle, supporting limited monetary stimulus. Strong FDI inflows from nearshoring provide some offset, yet analysts highlight risks from U.S. demand fluctuations and persistent uncertainty as key swing factors for quarterly readings.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,640结束日期
2026-10-30市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus positions 1.5-2.0% as the leading outcome for Mexico Q3 2026 GDP growth, reflecting expectations of moderate expansion amid weak domestic demand and external headwinds. Full-year 2026 forecasts from the IMF, OECD, and Reuters polls center near 1.1-1.6%, revised lower in July due to protracted USMCA negotiations beyond the July 1 deadline, which have weighed on private investment and business confidence. Q2 2026 annual growth reached 2.2% year-over-year, but leading indicators point to a slowdown as gross fixed capital formation contracted and core inflation remains sticky near 4%. Banxico held its policy rate at 6.5% after concluding its easing cycle, supporting limited monetary stimulus. Strong FDI inflows from nearshoring provide some offset, yet analysts highlight risks from U.S. demand fluctuations and persistent uncertainty as key swing factors for quarterly readings.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,640结束日期
2026-10-30市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions 1.5-2.0% as the leading outcome for Mexico Q3 2026 GDP growth, reflecting expectations of moderate expansion amid weak domestic demand and external headwinds. Full-year 2026 forecasts from the IMF, OECD, and Reuters polls center near 1.1-1.6%, revised lower in July due to protracted USMCA negotiations beyond the July 1 deadline, which have weighed on private investment and business confidence. Q2 2026 annual growth reached 2.2% year-over-year, but leading indicators point to a slowdown as gross fixed capital formation contracted and core inflation remains sticky near 4%. Banxico held its policy rate at 6.5% after concluding its easing cycle, supporting limited monetary stimulus. Strong FDI inflows from nearshoring provide some offset, yet analysts highlight risks from U.S. demand fluctuations and persistent uncertainty as key swing factors for quarterly readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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