**Eurozone GDP growth for 2026 faces downward pressure from the Middle East conflict’s energy price shock, which has prompted repeated forecast downgrades and elevated inflation risks.** Consensus projections from the ECB (0.8%), IMF (0.9%), OECD (0.8%), and Survey of Professional Forecasters (0.6%) cluster firmly in the 0–1% range after Q1 revisions and modest Q2 resilience of 0.4% quarter-on-quarter. The ECB’s July pause following its June 25-basis-point hike reflects data-dependent caution amid persistent uncertainty, while August PMIs signal tentative stabilization but limited momentum. These factors underpin the 75.4% market-implied probability on 0–1.0% annual growth, with the 1.0–2.0% band at just 20.5% reflecting limited scope for stronger outcomes absent rapid de-escalation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0-1.0% 75.4%
1.0-2.0% 21%
4.0-5.0% 3.2%
低于0% 3.1%
$30,590 交易量
$30,590 交易量
2027-01-30
低于0%
3%
0-1.0%
75%
1.0-2.0%
21%
2.0-3.0%
2%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
3%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
1%
7.0%及以上
<1%
0-1.0% 75.4%
1.0-2.0% 21%
4.0-5.0% 3.2%
低于0% 3.1%
$30,590 交易量
$30,590 交易量
2027-01-30
低于0%
$1,672 交易量
3%
0-1.0%
$11,604 交易量
75%
1.0-2.0%
$7,223 交易量
21%
2.0-3.0%
$1,180 交易量
2%
3.0-4.0%
$1,096 交易量
<1%
4.0-5.0%
$2,240 交易量
3%
5.0-6.0%
$1,185 交易量
<1%
6.0-7.0%
$2,662 交易量
1%
7.0%及以上
$1,728 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Eurozone GDP growth for 2026 faces downward pressure from the Middle East conflict’s energy price shock, which has prompted repeated forecast downgrades and elevated inflation risks.** Consensus projections from the ECB (0.8%), IMF (0.9%), OECD (0.8%), and Survey of Professional Forecasters (0.6%) cluster firmly in the 0–1% range after Q1 revisions and modest Q2 resilience of 0.4% quarter-on-quarter. The ECB’s July pause following its June 25-basis-point hike reflects data-dependent caution amid persistent uncertainty, while August PMIs signal tentative stabilization but limited momentum. These factors underpin the 75.4% market-implied probability on 0–1.0% annual growth, with the 1.0–2.0% band at just 20.5% reflecting limited scope for stronger outcomes absent rapid de-escalation.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
交易量
$30,590结束日期
2027-01-31市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Eurozone GDP growth for 2026 faces downward pressure from the Middle East conflict’s energy price shock, which has prompted repeated forecast downgrades and elevated inflation risks.** Consensus projections from the ECB (0.8%), IMF (0.9%), OECD (0.8%), and Survey of Professional Forecasters (0.6%) cluster firmly in the 0–1% range after Q1 revisions and modest Q2 resilience of 0.4% quarter-on-quarter. The ECB’s July pause following its June 25-basis-point hike reflects data-dependent caution amid persistent uncertainty, while August PMIs signal tentative stabilization but limited momentum. These factors underpin the 75.4% market-implied probability on 0–1.0% annual growth, with the 1.0–2.0% band at just 20.5% reflecting limited scope for stronger outcomes absent rapid de-escalation.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$30,590结束日期
2027-01-31市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Eurozone GDP growth for 2026 faces downward pressure from the Middle East conflict’s energy price shock, which has prompted repeated forecast downgrades and elevated inflation risks.** Consensus projections from the ECB (0.8%), IMF (0.9%), OECD (0.8%), and Survey of Professional Forecasters (0.6%) cluster firmly in the 0–1% range after Q1 revisions and modest Q2 resilience of 0.4% quarter-on-quarter. The ECB’s July pause following its June 25-basis-point hike reflects data-dependent caution amid persistent uncertainty, while August PMIs signal tentative stabilization but limited momentum. These factors underpin the 75.4% market-implied probability on 0–1.0% annual growth, with the 1.0–2.0% band at just 20.5% reflecting limited scope for stronger outcomes absent rapid de-escalation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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