Recent ECB staff projections place eurozone real GDP growth at 0.9% for 2026, revised modestly higher from June on the back of stronger-than-expected Q2 expansion of 0.4% quarter-on-quarter and resilient domestic demand. Adjusted measures excluding Irish volatility show 1.2% growth, aligning with the market's 66% implied probability for the 1.0-2.0% outcome. Supporting factors include defense and infrastructure outlays, export recovery, and easing uncertainty, though elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions and France's downward revision to 0.5% keep downside risks alive, reflected in the 31% odds for 0-1.0%. Traders are pricing in moderate expansion consistent with official baselines and recent data releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.0-2.0% 66%
0-1.0% 31.1%
低于0% <1%
3.0-4.0% <1%
$41,913 交易量
$41,913 交易量
2027-01-30
低于0%
<1%
0-1.0%
31%
1.0-2.0%
66%
2.0-3.0%
<1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
<1%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0%及以上
<1%
1.0-2.0% 66%
0-1.0% 31.1%
低于0% <1%
3.0-4.0% <1%
$41,913 交易量
$41,913 交易量
2027-01-30
低于0%
$2,498 交易量
<1%
0-1.0%
$13,064 交易量
31%
1.0-2.0%
$11,312 交易量
66%
2.0-3.0%
$1,999 交易量
<1%
3.0-4.0%
$1,934 交易量
<1%
4.0-5.0%
$3,059 交易量
<1%
5.0-6.0%
$2,011 交易量
<1%
6.0-7.0%
$3,481 交易量
<1%
7.0%及以上
$2,554 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECB staff projections place eurozone real GDP growth at 0.9% for 2026, revised modestly higher from June on the back of stronger-than-expected Q2 expansion of 0.4% quarter-on-quarter and resilient domestic demand. Adjusted measures excluding Irish volatility show 1.2% growth, aligning with the market's 66% implied probability for the 1.0-2.0% outcome. Supporting factors include defense and infrastructure outlays, export recovery, and easing uncertainty, though elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions and France's downward revision to 0.5% keep downside risks alive, reflected in the 31% odds for 0-1.0%. Traders are pricing in moderate expansion consistent with official baselines and recent data releases.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
交易量
$41,913结束日期
2027-01-31市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECB staff projections place eurozone real GDP growth at 0.9% for 2026, revised modestly higher from June on the back of stronger-than-expected Q2 expansion of 0.4% quarter-on-quarter and resilient domestic demand. Adjusted measures excluding Irish volatility show 1.2% growth, aligning with the market's 66% implied probability for the 1.0-2.0% outcome. Supporting factors include defense and infrastructure outlays, export recovery, and easing uncertainty, though elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions and France's downward revision to 0.5% keep downside risks alive, reflected in the 31% odds for 0-1.0%. Traders are pricing in moderate expansion consistent with official baselines and recent data releases.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$41,913结束日期
2027-01-31市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETRecent ECB staff projections place eurozone real GDP growth at 0.9% for 2026, revised modestly higher from June on the back of stronger-than-expected Q2 expansion of 0.4% quarter-on-quarter and resilient domestic demand. Adjusted measures excluding Irish volatility show 1.2% growth, aligning with the market's 66% implied probability for the 1.0-2.0% outcome. Supporting factors include defense and infrastructure outlays, export recovery, and easing uncertainty, though elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions and France's downward revision to 0.5% keep downside risks alive, reflected in the 31% odds for 0-1.0%. Traders are pricing in moderate expansion consistent with official baselines and recent data releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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