Recent August PPI data at 5.4% YoY, slightly above consensus, has shaped trader positioning for the September reading amid persistent energy-driven cost pressures. Surging crude and diesel prices, linked to Middle East supply constraints, lifted final demand goods by 1.1% monthly and account for the bulk of the annual acceleration from July’s 4.8% pace. With core measures also firm and the Fed weighing a potential rate adjustment, market-implied odds cluster tightly around 5.4–5.6%, reflecting uncertainty over whether September’s energy contribution will moderate or extend the recent uptrend. Upcoming CPI and FOMC communications remain key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于≤5.0% 40%
5.6% 39%
5.9%及以上 30%
5.5% 26%
≤5.0%
40%
5.1%
22%
5.2%
18%
5.3%
21%
5.4%
23%
5.5%
26%
5.6%
39%
5.7%
26%
5.8%
26%
5.9%及以上
30%
≤5.0% 40%
5.6% 39%
5.9%及以上 30%
5.5% 26%
≤5.0%
40%
5.1%
22%
5.2%
18%
5.3%
21%
5.4%
23%
5.5%
26%
5.6%
39%
5.7%
26%
5.8%
26%
5.9%及以上
30%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间: Sep 11, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Recent August PPI data at 5.4% YoY, slightly above consensus, has shaped trader positioning for the September reading amid persistent energy-driven cost pressures. Surging crude and diesel prices, linked to Middle East supply constraints, lifted final demand goods by 1.1% monthly and account for the bulk of the annual acceleration from July’s 4.8% pace. With core measures also firm and the Fed weighing a potential rate adjustment, market-implied odds cluster tightly around 5.4–5.6%, reflecting uncertainty over whether September’s energy contribution will moderate or extend the recent uptrend. Upcoming CPI and FOMC communications remain key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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