Recent strength in the August employment report, which showed 162,000 nonfarm payroll gains against expectations near 55,000 and an unchanged 4.1% unemployment rate, has shaped trader positioning for September. Upward revisions to prior months and gains concentrated in leisure, hospitality, and government offset softer private-sector readings from ADP and earlier cooling signals. With the labor market near full employment and inflation data remaining the Fed’s primary focus ahead of the next policy meeting, markets assign the highest implied probability to modest 50,000–100,000 gains. Volatility between official and private surveys, potential seasonal effects, and uncertainty over whether the August rebound marks a durable shift or temporary rebound keep lower brackets competitive.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5万到10万 25%
0到5万 20%
10万至15万 15%
15万到20万 12%
<-5万
11%
-5万至0
12%
0到5万
20%
5万到10万
25%
10万至15万
15%
15万到20万
12%
20万+
8%
5万到10万 25%
0到5万 20%
10万至15万 15%
15万到20万 12%
<-5万
11%
-5万至0
12%
0到5万
20%
5万到10万
25%
10万至15万
15%
15万到20万
12%
20万+
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
市场开放时间: Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Recent strength in the August employment report, which showed 162,000 nonfarm payroll gains against expectations near 55,000 and an unchanged 4.1% unemployment rate, has shaped trader positioning for September. Upward revisions to prior months and gains concentrated in leisure, hospitality, and government offset softer private-sector readings from ADP and earlier cooling signals. With the labor market near full employment and inflation data remaining the Fed’s primary focus ahead of the next policy meeting, markets assign the highest implied probability to modest 50,000–100,000 gains. Volatility between official and private surveys, potential seasonal effects, and uncertainty over whether the August rebound marks a durable shift or temporary rebound keep lower brackets competitive.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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