Recent August CPI data showing a 0.4% month-over-month rise—matching consensus but with core prices advancing 0.3% versus 0.2% expected—has anchored trader focus on September's print amid elevated energy costs from Middle East supply shocks. Gasoline prices surged nearly 4% in August, lifting the headline rate to 3.4% year-over-year and pushing one-year inflation expectations higher in consumer surveys. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 0.4% and 0.6% because ongoing fuel volatility and potential spillovers to services compete with signs of shelter moderation and the Federal Reserve's upcoming September policy decision, which futures now price with an 85% probability of a 25-basis-point hike. These factors create a narrow band where small deviations in energy or core components could shift resolution probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0.6% 29%
0.5% 25%
0.4% 16%
0.7% 13%
最新
最新
2026-10-14
≤0.0%
4%
0.1%
5%
0.2%
9%
0.3%
19%
0.4%
16%
0.5%
25%
0.6%
29%
0.7%
13%
≥0.8%
12%
0.6% 29%
0.5% 25%
0.4% 16%
0.7% 13%
最新
最新
2026-10-14
≤0.0%
$117 交易量
4%
0.1%
$110 交易量
5%
0.2%
$149 交易量
9%
0.3%
$150 交易量
19%
0.4%
$310 交易量
16%
0.5%
$557 交易量
25%
0.6%
$149 交易量
29%
0.7%
$110 交易量
13%
≥0.8%
$506 交易量
12%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data showing a 0.4% month-over-month rise—matching consensus but with core prices advancing 0.3% versus 0.2% expected—has anchored trader focus on September's print amid elevated energy costs from Middle East supply shocks. Gasoline prices surged nearly 4% in August, lifting the headline rate to 3.4% year-over-year and pushing one-year inflation expectations higher in consumer surveys. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 0.4% and 0.6% because ongoing fuel volatility and potential spillovers to services compete with signs of shelter moderation and the Federal Reserve's upcoming September policy decision, which futures now price with an 85% probability of a 25-basis-point hike. These factors create a narrow band where small deviations in energy or core components could shift resolution probabilities.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
交易量
$2,155结束日期
2026-10-15市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETThis is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data showing a 0.4% month-over-month rise—matching consensus but with core prices advancing 0.3% versus 0.2% expected—has anchored trader focus on September's print amid elevated energy costs from Middle East supply shocks. Gasoline prices surged nearly 4% in August, lifting the headline rate to 3.4% year-over-year and pushing one-year inflation expectations higher in consumer surveys. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 0.4% and 0.6% because ongoing fuel volatility and potential spillovers to services compete with signs of shelter moderation and the Federal Reserve's upcoming September policy decision, which futures now price with an 85% probability of a 25-basis-point hike. These factors create a narrow band where small deviations in energy or core components could shift resolution probabilities.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$2,155结束日期
2026-10-15市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETRecent August CPI data showing a 0.4% month-over-month rise—matching consensus but with core prices advancing 0.3% versus 0.2% expected—has anchored trader focus on September's print amid elevated energy costs from Middle East supply shocks. Gasoline prices surged nearly 4% in August, lifting the headline rate to 3.4% year-over-year and pushing one-year inflation expectations higher in consumer surveys. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 0.4% and 0.6% because ongoing fuel volatility and potential spillovers to services compete with signs of shelter moderation and the Federal Reserve's upcoming September policy decision, which futures now price with an 85% probability of a 25-basis-point hike. These factors create a narrow band where small deviations in energy or core components could shift resolution probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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