Trader sentiment on Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation reflects a tight contest between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% ranges, driven by the Central Bank’s REM survey median forecast of 30% and recent monthly prints moderating toward 1.7–1.9%. Fiscal surplus, monetary-base control, and a managed exchange-rate band continue to support disinflation from the 33.2% year-over-year rate observed in May, yet lingering relative-price adjustments and earlier energy-price shocks from the Iran conflict introduce upside risks that keep the two leading bins nearly even. Market-implied odds capture this balance, with traders weighting the likelihood of sub-2% monthly readings persisting through year-end against the possibility of any renewed inertia or external volatility pushing the outcome into the low thirties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于30.0-34.9% 52.2%
25-29.9% 46%
低于20% 2.0%
45%以上 1.5%
$45,889 交易量
$45,889 交易量
2027-01-09
低于20%
2%
20-24.9%
1%
25-29.9%
46%
30.0-34.9%
52%
35–39.9%
1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%以上
2%
30.0-34.9% 52.2%
25-29.9% 46%
低于20% 2.0%
45%以上 1.5%
$45,889 交易量
$45,889 交易量
2027-01-09
低于20%
$4,653 交易量
2%
20-24.9%
$3,231 交易量
1%
25-29.9%
$13,669 交易量
46%
30.0-34.9%
$13,795 交易量
52%
35–39.9%
$3,531 交易量
1%
40-44.9%
$3,564 交易量
1%
45%以上
$3,445 交易量
2%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader sentiment on Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation reflects a tight contest between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% ranges, driven by the Central Bank’s REM survey median forecast of 30% and recent monthly prints moderating toward 1.7–1.9%. Fiscal surplus, monetary-base control, and a managed exchange-rate band continue to support disinflation from the 33.2% year-over-year rate observed in May, yet lingering relative-price adjustments and earlier energy-price shocks from the Iran conflict introduce upside risks that keep the two leading bins nearly even. Market-implied odds capture this balance, with traders weighting the likelihood of sub-2% monthly readings persisting through year-end against the possibility of any renewed inertia or external volatility pushing the outcome into the low thirties.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
交易量
$45,889结束日期
2027-01-10市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETThis is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader sentiment on Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation reflects a tight contest between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% ranges, driven by the Central Bank’s REM survey median forecast of 30% and recent monthly prints moderating toward 1.7–1.9%. Fiscal surplus, monetary-base control, and a managed exchange-rate band continue to support disinflation from the 33.2% year-over-year rate observed in May, yet lingering relative-price adjustments and earlier energy-price shocks from the Iran conflict introduce upside risks that keep the two leading bins nearly even. Market-implied odds capture this balance, with traders weighting the likelihood of sub-2% monthly readings persisting through year-end against the possibility of any renewed inertia or external volatility pushing the outcome into the low thirties.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$45,889结束日期
2027-01-10市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETTrader sentiment on Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation reflects a tight contest between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% ranges, driven by the Central Bank’s REM survey median forecast of 30% and recent monthly prints moderating toward 1.7–1.9%. Fiscal surplus, monetary-base control, and a managed exchange-rate band continue to support disinflation from the 33.2% year-over-year rate observed in May, yet lingering relative-price adjustments and earlier energy-price shocks from the Iran conflict introduce upside risks that keep the two leading bins nearly even. Market-implied odds capture this balance, with traders weighting the likelihood of sub-2% monthly readings persisting through year-end against the possibility of any renewed inertia or external volatility pushing the outcome into the low thirties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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