Recent Mexico inflation data shows headline CPI easing to 3.12% in July 2026 before rebounding modestly to 3.26% in early August amid higher food and agricultural prices, while core inflation held near 3.93%. Banco de México has held its policy rate at 6.50% and shifted its 3% target convergence forecast to Q4 2027, citing persistent services inflation, potential USMCA trade disruptions, geopolitical energy shocks, and climate-driven agricultural pressures as upside risks. Private-sector year-end 2026 expectations cluster near 4.0%, balancing weak domestic demand and slowing growth against these factors. This environment supports closely matched Polymarket probabilities in the 3.50–4.49% bands, reflecting trader focus on whether non-core volatility and external uncertainties will keep annual inflation above or near the upper end of Banxico’s target range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于3.50%到3.99% 32.9%
4.00%至4.49% 25%
3.00%到3.49% 20.3%
4.50%到4.99% 9%
$65,972 交易量
$65,972 交易量
2027-01-07
低于2.50%
2%
2.50%至2.99%
6%
3.00%到3.49%
20%
3.50%到3.99%
33%
4.00%至4.49%
25%
4.50%到4.99%
9%
5.00%到5.49%
4%
5.50%及以上
3%
3.50%到3.99% 32.9%
4.00%至4.49% 25%
3.00%到3.49% 20.3%
4.50%到4.99% 9%
$65,972 交易量
$65,972 交易量
2027-01-07
低于2.50%
$1,111 交易量
2%
2.50%至2.99%
$4,895 交易量
6%
3.00%到3.49%
$28,970 交易量
20%
3.50%到3.99%
$4,196 交易量
33%
4.00%至4.49%
$13,117 交易量
25%
4.50%到4.99%
$4,916 交易量
9%
5.00%到5.49%
$2,454 交易量
4%
5.50%及以上
$6,313 交易量
3%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent Mexico inflation data shows headline CPI easing to 3.12% in July 2026 before rebounding modestly to 3.26% in early August amid higher food and agricultural prices, while core inflation held near 3.93%. Banco de México has held its policy rate at 6.50% and shifted its 3% target convergence forecast to Q4 2027, citing persistent services inflation, potential USMCA trade disruptions, geopolitical energy shocks, and climate-driven agricultural pressures as upside risks. Private-sector year-end 2026 expectations cluster near 4.0%, balancing weak domestic demand and slowing growth against these factors. This environment supports closely matched Polymarket probabilities in the 3.50–4.49% bands, reflecting trader focus on whether non-core volatility and external uncertainties will keep annual inflation above or near the upper end of Banxico’s target range.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
市场开放时间： Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
交易量
$65,972结束日期
2027-01-08市场开放时间
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETThis is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent Mexico inflation data shows headline CPI easing to 3.12% in July 2026 before rebounding modestly to 3.26% in early August amid higher food and agricultural prices, while core inflation held near 3.93%. Banco de México has held its policy rate at 6.50% and shifted its 3% target convergence forecast to Q4 2027, citing persistent services inflation, potential USMCA trade disruptions, geopolitical energy shocks, and climate-driven agricultural pressures as upside risks. Private-sector year-end 2026 expectations cluster near 4.0%, balancing weak domestic demand and slowing growth against these factors. This environment supports closely matched Polymarket probabilities in the 3.50–4.49% bands, reflecting trader focus on whether non-core volatility and external uncertainties will keep annual inflation above or near the upper end of Banxico’s target range.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
交易量
$65,972结束日期
2027-01-08市场开放时间
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETRecent Mexico inflation data shows headline CPI easing to 3.12% in July 2026 before rebounding modestly to 3.26% in early August amid higher food and agricultural prices, while core inflation held near 3.93%. Banco de México has held its policy rate at 6.50% and shifted its 3% target convergence forecast to Q4 2027, citing persistent services inflation, potential USMCA trade disruptions, geopolitical energy shocks, and climate-driven agricultural pressures as upside risks. Private-sector year-end 2026 expectations cluster near 4.0%, balancing weak domestic demand and slowing growth against these factors. This environment supports closely matched Polymarket probabilities in the 3.50–4.49% bands, reflecting trader focus on whether non-core volatility and external uncertainties will keep annual inflation above or near the upper end of Banxico’s target range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题