Traders price the July 2026 U.S. CPI year-over-year at a 72% combined implied probability for a 3.3–3.4% print, reflecting the latest monthly deceleration in core goods and shelter components alongside stable labor-market readings. Recent June data showed headline inflation easing modestly while services prices remained elevated, aligning with the Federal Reserve’s preferred PCE trajectory and supporting market-implied odds for another 25-basis-point cut later in the year. Forward-looking factors include the upcoming August CPI release, FOMC minutes, and any revisions to nonfarm payrolls that could shift expectations for the pace of disinflation. The tight clustering around 3.3–3.4% underscores how recent economic releases have narrowed the range of likely outcomes while leaving room for surprises in volatile food and energy categories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于3.4% 42%
3.3% 31%
3.5% 22%
3.2% 5.2%
$247,135 交易量
$247,135 交易量
2026-08-12
≤3.1%
2%
3.2%
5%
3.3%
31%
3.4%
42%
3.5%
22%
3.6%
3%
3.7%
1%
3.8%
1%
3.9%
1%
4.0%
<1%
4.1%
<1%
≥4.2%
<1%
3.4% 42%
3.3% 31%
3.5% 22%
3.2% 5.2%
$247,135 交易量
$247,135 交易量
2026-08-12
≤3.1%
$18,592 交易量
2%
3.2%
$19,260 交易量
5%
3.3%
$46,536 交易量
31%
3.4%
$49,672 交易量
42%
3.5%
$26,009 交易量
22%
3.6%
$15,608 交易量
3%
3.7%
$16,333 交易量
1%
3.8%
$13,874 交易量
1%
3.9%
$13,966 交易量
1%
4.0%
$10,119 交易量
<1%
4.1%
$8,479 交易量
<1%
≥4.2%
$8,687 交易量
<1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders price the July 2026 U.S. CPI year-over-year at a 72% combined implied probability for a 3.3–3.4% print, reflecting the latest monthly deceleration in core goods and shelter components alongside stable labor-market readings. Recent June data showed headline inflation easing modestly while services prices remained elevated, aligning with the Federal Reserve’s preferred PCE trajectory and supporting market-implied odds for another 25-basis-point cut later in the year. Forward-looking factors include the upcoming August CPI release, FOMC minutes, and any revisions to nonfarm payrolls that could shift expectations for the pace of disinflation. The tight clustering around 3.3–3.4% underscores how recent economic releases have narrowed the range of likely outcomes while leaving room for surprises in volatile food and energy categories.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
交易量
$247,135结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders price the July 2026 U.S. CPI year-over-year at a 72% combined implied probability for a 3.3–3.4% print, reflecting the latest monthly deceleration in core goods and shelter components alongside stable labor-market readings. Recent June data showed headline inflation easing modestly while services prices remained elevated, aligning with the Federal Reserve’s preferred PCE trajectory and supporting market-implied odds for another 25-basis-point cut later in the year. Forward-looking factors include the upcoming August CPI release, FOMC minutes, and any revisions to nonfarm payrolls that could shift expectations for the pace of disinflation. The tight clustering around 3.3–3.4% underscores how recent economic releases have narrowed the range of likely outcomes while leaving room for surprises in volatile food and energy categories.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$247,135结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders price the July 2026 U.S. CPI year-over-year at a 72% combined implied probability for a 3.3–3.4% print, reflecting the latest monthly deceleration in core goods and shelter components alongside stable labor-market readings. Recent June data showed headline inflation easing modestly while services prices remained elevated, aligning with the Federal Reserve’s preferred PCE trajectory and supporting market-implied odds for another 25-basis-point cut later in the year. Forward-looking factors include the upcoming August CPI release, FOMC minutes, and any revisions to nonfarm payrolls that could shift expectations for the pace of disinflation. The tight clustering around 3.3–3.4% underscores how recent economic releases have narrowed the range of likely outcomes while leaving room for surprises in volatile food and energy categories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题