Recent strength in U.S. manufacturing, highlighted by the July 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI surging to 55.6 and exceeding consensus estimates of 54.0, underpins the market-implied odds favoring a 55.0–55.9 reading for August at 34%. Broad-based gains in new orders, production, and employment—returning to expansion territory for the first time in over two years—reflect resilient demand and AI-related investment that have helped offset tariff and geopolitical pressures. Persistent input cost inflation, with the Prices Index near 71, and supply-chain concerns tied to the Iran conflict continue to introduce volatility, contributing to the dispersed probabilities across the 52–59 range. Trader positioning ahead of the September 1 release reflects this balance between momentum and external risks, consistent with historical patterns following strong expansion prints.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于55.0–55.9 35%
54.0–54.9 33%
52.0–52.9 25%
59.0及以上 23.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
低于51.0
1%
51.0–51.9
5%
52.0–52.9
25%
53.0–53.9
17%
54.0–54.9
23%
55.0–55.9
35%
56.0–56.9
10%
57.0–57.9
23%
58.0–58.9
7%
59.0及以上
24%
55.0–55.9 35%
54.0–54.9 33%
52.0–52.9 25%
59.0及以上 23.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
低于51.0
$178 交易量
1%
51.0–51.9
$173 交易量
5%
52.0–52.9
$90 交易量
25%
53.0–53.9
$127 交易量
17%
54.0–54.9
$952 交易量
23%
55.0–55.9
$431 交易量
35%
56.0–56.9
$125 交易量
10%
57.0–57.9
$133 交易量
23%
58.0–58.9
$104 交易量
7%
59.0及以上
$90 交易量
24%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent strength in U.S. manufacturing, highlighted by the July 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI surging to 55.6 and exceeding consensus estimates of 54.0, underpins the market-implied odds favoring a 55.0–55.9 reading for August at 34%. Broad-based gains in new orders, production, and employment—returning to expansion territory for the first time in over two years—reflect resilient demand and AI-related investment that have helped offset tariff and geopolitical pressures. Persistent input cost inflation, with the Prices Index near 71, and supply-chain concerns tied to the Iran conflict continue to introduce volatility, contributing to the dispersed probabilities across the 52–59 range. Trader positioning ahead of the September 1 release reflects this balance between momentum and external risks, consistent with historical patterns following strong expansion prints.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
交易量
$2,403结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent strength in U.S. manufacturing, highlighted by the July 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI surging to 55.6 and exceeding consensus estimates of 54.0, underpins the market-implied odds favoring a 55.0–55.9 reading for August at 34%. Broad-based gains in new orders, production, and employment—returning to expansion territory for the first time in over two years—reflect resilient demand and AI-related investment that have helped offset tariff and geopolitical pressures. Persistent input cost inflation, with the Prices Index near 71, and supply-chain concerns tied to the Iran conflict continue to introduce volatility, contributing to the dispersed probabilities across the 52–59 range. Trader positioning ahead of the September 1 release reflects this balance between momentum and external risks, consistent with historical patterns following strong expansion prints.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$2,403结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent strength in U.S. manufacturing, highlighted by the July 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI surging to 55.6 and exceeding consensus estimates of 54.0, underpins the market-implied odds favoring a 55.0–55.9 reading for August at 34%. Broad-based gains in new orders, production, and employment—returning to expansion territory for the first time in over two years—reflect resilient demand and AI-related investment that have helped offset tariff and geopolitical pressures. Persistent input cost inflation, with the Prices Index near 71, and supply-chain concerns tied to the Iran conflict continue to introduce volatility, contributing to the dispersed probabilities across the 52–59 range. Trader positioning ahead of the September 1 release reflects this balance between momentum and external risks, consistent with historical patterns following strong expansion prints.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题