Recent July 2026 employment data, showing nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000 jobs against expectations of gains near 80,000 and downward revisions to prior months, anchor trader views on the August unemployment rate. The rate held at 4.1 percent as the labor force participation rate fell to a multi-year low of 61.4 percent, reflecting reduced workforce entry rather than robust hiring. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around 4.1–4.3 percent, sentiment hinges on whether softening demand or further labor-force shrinkage prevails ahead of the September 4 release. Broader indicators, including stable but low hiring rates and Fed focus on employment trends, sustain the competitive balance among these outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4.3% 32%
4.2% 29%
4.1% 26%
4.0% 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
≤3.8%
1%
3.9%
3%
4.0%
9%
4.1%
26%
4.2%
29%
4.3%
32%
4.4%
5%
4.5%
1%
≥4.6%
1%
4.3% 32%
4.2% 29%
4.1% 26%
4.0% 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
≤3.8%
$115 交易量
1%
3.9%
$117 交易量
3%
4.0%
$967 交易量
9%
4.1%
$3,187 交易量
26%
4.2%
$2,033 交易量
29%
4.3%
$1,696 交易量
32%
4.4%
$351 交易量
5%
4.5%
$137 交易量
1%
≥4.6%
$142 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July 2026 employment data, showing nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000 jobs against expectations of gains near 80,000 and downward revisions to prior months, anchor trader views on the August unemployment rate. The rate held at 4.1 percent as the labor force participation rate fell to a multi-year low of 61.4 percent, reflecting reduced workforce entry rather than robust hiring. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around 4.1–4.3 percent, sentiment hinges on whether softening demand or further labor-force shrinkage prevails ahead of the September 4 release. Broader indicators, including stable but low hiring rates and Fed focus on employment trends, sustain the competitive balance among these outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
交易量
$8,745结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July 2026 employment data, showing nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000 jobs against expectations of gains near 80,000 and downward revisions to prior months, anchor trader views on the August unemployment rate. The rate held at 4.1 percent as the labor force participation rate fell to a multi-year low of 61.4 percent, reflecting reduced workforce entry rather than robust hiring. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around 4.1–4.3 percent, sentiment hinges on whether softening demand or further labor-force shrinkage prevails ahead of the September 4 release. Broader indicators, including stable but low hiring rates and Fed focus on employment trends, sustain the competitive balance among these outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$8,745结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ETRecent July 2026 employment data, showing nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000 jobs against expectations of gains near 80,000 and downward revisions to prior months, anchor trader views on the August unemployment rate. The rate held at 4.1 percent as the labor force participation rate fell to a multi-year low of 61.4 percent, reflecting reduced workforce entry rather than robust hiring. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around 4.1–4.3 percent, sentiment hinges on whether softening demand or further labor-force shrinkage prevails ahead of the September 4 release. Broader indicators, including stable but low hiring rates and Fed focus on employment trends, sustain the competitive balance among these outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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