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Jobs 预测与赔率

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April Unemployment Rate

April Unemployment Rate

33%

4.3%

$23.3K 交易量

$24.9K Liq.

Ends 12 天内

How many jobs added in April?

How many jobs added in April?

37%

0 – 50k

$8.3K 交易量

$9.4K Liq.

Ends 12 天内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

61%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$18.0K Liq.

111

Ends 2 个月内

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

42%

5.0%

$369K 交易量

$25.6K Liq.

13

Ends 8 个月内

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

22%

December 31, 2026

$459K 交易量

$6.6K Liq.

32

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

98%

Up

$8.9K 交易量

$1.2K Liq.

Ends 9 天内

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

13%

May 4

$63.8K 交易量

$72.6K Liq.

10

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

71%

↓ 0.0014

$105K 交易量

$14.4K Liq.

3

Ends 8 个月内

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

98%

Silver

$33.9K 交易量

$14.1K Liq.

Ends 4 天内

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

96%

>$600M

$19M 交易量

$502K today

$769K Liq.

278

Ends 2 个月内

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

41%

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)

$126 交易量

$6.4K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

What will Trump post this week? (April 27 - May 3)

What will Trump post this week? (April 27 - May 3)

81%

Blockade

$233 交易量

$5.9K Liq.

Ends 7 天内

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in April 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in April 2026?

40%

↑ $280

$28.0K 交易量

$9.1K Liq.

Ends 5 天内

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?

85%

↓ $375

$25 交易量

$10.0K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Major US official out by April 30?

Major US official out by April 30?

19%

$1.5K 交易量

$15.8K Liq.

3

Ends 4 天内

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

50%

↑ $5,400

$0 交易量

$9 Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on April 27?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on April 27?

98%

$685

$2.2K 交易量

$10.1K Liq.

Ends 1 天内

Zelenskyy # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

30%

80-99

$2.0K 交易量

$6.6K Liq.

Ends 10 天内

Zelenskyy # posts April 21 - April 28, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 21 - April 28, 2026?

53%

80-99

$9.6K 交易量

$3.6K Liq.

Ends 3 天内

What will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit in May 2026?

What will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit in May 2026?

51%

↑ $6.00

$36 交易量

$25 Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 Jobs 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 102 个活跃的 Jobs 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"April Unemployment Rate"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $22.3M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Major US official out by April 30?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? ",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? ",市场目前认为 >$600M 的概率为 96%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 Jobs 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。