The Democratic nominee Rebecca Bennett holds a strong implied probability in the NJ-07 race primarily because incumbent Republican Tom Kean Jr. faces ongoing scrutiny over his extended 117-day absence from Congress due to a depression diagnosis, which has become a central campaign issue in this competitive district with a narrow Republican registration edge. Bennett, a former Navy aviator and healthcare executive who won the June Democratic primary, has secured key endorsements including from Governor Mikie Sherrill and benefited from shifts in nonpartisan race ratings toward the Democratic side. National midterm dynamics, where the out-of-party typically gains ground, further support trader positioning, though Kean’s fundraising and prior narrow victories keep a Republican path open if health concerns recede.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
82%
共和党
16%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$722 交易量
82%
共和党
$5,916 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee Rebecca Bennett holds a strong implied probability in the NJ-07 race primarily because incumbent Republican Tom Kean Jr. faces ongoing scrutiny over his extended 117-day absence from Congress due to a depression diagnosis, which has become a central campaign issue in this competitive district with a narrow Republican registration edge. Bennett, a former Navy aviator and healthcare executive who won the June Democratic primary, has secured key endorsements including from Governor Mikie Sherrill and benefited from shifts in nonpartisan race ratings toward the Democratic side. National midterm dynamics, where the out-of-party typically gains ground, further support trader positioning, though Kean’s fundraising and prior narrow victories keep a Republican path open if health concerns recede.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$6,638结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee Rebecca Bennett holds a strong implied probability in the NJ-07 race primarily because incumbent Republican Tom Kean Jr. faces ongoing scrutiny over his extended 117-day absence from Congress due to a depression diagnosis, which has become a central campaign issue in this competitive district with a narrow Republican registration edge. Bennett, a former Navy aviator and healthcare executive who won the June Democratic primary, has secured key endorsements including from Governor Mikie Sherrill and benefited from shifts in nonpartisan race ratings toward the Democratic side. National midterm dynamics, where the out-of-party typically gains ground, further support trader positioning, though Kean’s fundraising and prior narrow victories keep a Republican path open if health concerns recede.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,638结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee Rebecca Bennett holds a strong implied probability in the NJ-07 race primarily because incumbent Republican Tom Kean Jr. faces ongoing scrutiny over his extended 117-day absence from Congress due to a depression diagnosis, which has become a central campaign issue in this competitive district with a narrow Republican registration edge. Bennett, a former Navy aviator and healthcare executive who won the June Democratic primary, has secured key endorsements including from Governor Mikie Sherrill and benefited from shifts in nonpartisan race ratings toward the Democratic side. National midterm dynamics, where the out-of-party typically gains ground, further support trader positioning, though Kean’s fundraising and prior narrow victories keep a Republican path open if health concerns recede.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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