Trader consensus in the Florida Republican primary for governor currently assigns Jay Collins the highest probability of finishing second at 62.5 percent, ahead of James Fishback at 36.5 percent and a long list of other declared or potential entrants at 50 percent or lower. This positioning reflects early campaign announcements, fundraising activity, and alignment with party networks in an open-seat contest. Low single-digit odds for figures such as Byron Donalds and Paul Renner indicate limited perceived viability for second place at this stage. No major polling shifts, endorsements, or primary-specific developments have altered these implied probabilities in recent weeks, leaving the field fluid ahead of formal filing deadlines and voter attention cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于杰伊·柯林斯 63%
詹姆斯·菲什巴克 37%
拜伦·唐纳兹 <1%
保罗·伦纳 <1%
$28,676 交易量
$28,676 交易量
2026-08-18
杰伊·柯林斯
63%
詹姆斯·菲什巴克
37%
拜伦·唐纳兹
<1%
保罗·伦纳
<1%
吉姆·霍尔科姆
<1%
亚瑟·约瑟夫·麦卡弗里
<1%
丹尼尔·诺科维奇
<1%
Rachel Rodriguez
<1%
詹姆斯·沃克·肖
<1%
Caneste Succe
<1%
鲍比·威廉姆斯
<1%
杰伊·柯林斯 63%
詹姆斯·菲什巴克 37%
拜伦·唐纳兹 <1%
保罗·伦纳 <1%
$28,676 交易量
$28,676 交易量
2026-08-18
杰伊·柯林斯
$13,511 交易量
63%
詹姆斯·菲什巴克
$9,234 交易量
37%
拜伦·唐纳兹
$360 交易量
<1%
保罗·伦纳
$657 交易量
<1%
吉姆·霍尔科姆
$543 交易量
<1%
亚瑟·约瑟夫·麦卡弗里
$1,047 交易量
<1%
丹尼尔·诺科维奇
$791 交易量
<1%
Rachel Rodriguez
$648 交易量
<1%
詹姆斯·沃克·肖
$511 交易量
<1%
Caneste Succe
$788 交易量
<1%
鲍比·威廉姆斯
$586 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Florida Republican primary for governor currently assigns Jay Collins the highest probability of finishing second at 62.5 percent, ahead of James Fishback at 36.5 percent and a long list of other declared or potential entrants at 50 percent or lower. This positioning reflects early campaign announcements, fundraising activity, and alignment with party networks in an open-seat contest. Low single-digit odds for figures such as Byron Donalds and Paul Renner indicate limited perceived viability for second place at this stage. No major polling shifts, endorsements, or primary-specific developments have altered these implied probabilities in recent weeks, leaving the field fluid ahead of formal filing deadlines and voter attention cycles.
This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Jul 10, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
交易量
$28,676结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Florida Republican primary for governor currently assigns Jay Collins the highest probability of finishing second at 62.5 percent, ahead of James Fishback at 36.5 percent and a long list of other declared or potential entrants at 50 percent or lower. This positioning reflects early campaign announcements, fundraising activity, and alignment with party networks in an open-seat contest. Low single-digit odds for figures such as Byron Donalds and Paul Renner indicate limited perceived viability for second place at this stage. No major polling shifts, endorsements, or primary-specific developments have altered these implied probabilities in recent weeks, leaving the field fluid ahead of formal filing deadlines and voter attention cycles.
This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$28,676结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Florida Republican primary for governor currently assigns Jay Collins the highest probability of finishing second at 62.5 percent, ahead of James Fishback at 36.5 percent and a long list of other declared or potential entrants at 50 percent or lower. This positioning reflects early campaign announcements, fundraising activity, and alignment with party networks in an open-seat contest. Low single-digit odds for figures such as Byron Donalds and Paul Renner indicate limited perceived viability for second place at this stage. No major polling shifts, endorsements, or primary-specific developments have altered these implied probabilities in recent weeks, leaving the field fluid ahead of formal filing deadlines and voter attention cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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