Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone, serving since 1988, secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 66% of the vote against two challengers. New Jersey's 6th district, encompassing areas like Edison and Woodbridge along Raritan Bay plus coastal Monmouth County sections, has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles, including Pallone's 56% win in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan composition and the challenger's limited resources. Trader consensus at 94% for Democrats aligns with this structural edge and absence of major shifts. A Republican upset would require an unusually strong national midterm wave, significant local scandals, or sharply altered turnout patterns not evident in current polling or fundraising data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,038 交易量
$28,038 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$28,038 交易量
$28,038 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$8,882 交易量
94%
共和党
$19,155 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone, serving since 1988, secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 66% of the vote against two challengers. New Jersey's 6th district, encompassing areas like Edison and Woodbridge along Raritan Bay plus coastal Monmouth County sections, has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles, including Pallone's 56% win in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan composition and the challenger's limited resources. Trader consensus at 94% for Democrats aligns with this structural edge and absence of major shifts. A Republican upset would require an unusually strong national midterm wave, significant local scandals, or sharply altered turnout patterns not evident in current polling or fundraising data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$28,038结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone, serving since 1988, secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 66% of the vote against two challengers. New Jersey's 6th district, encompassing areas like Edison and Woodbridge along Raritan Bay plus coastal Monmouth County sections, has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles, including Pallone's 56% win in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan composition and the challenger's limited resources. Trader consensus at 94% for Democrats aligns with this structural edge and absence of major shifts. A Republican upset would require an unusually strong national midterm wave, significant local scandals, or sharply altered turnout patterns not evident in current polling or fundraising data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,038结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone, serving since 1988, secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 66% of the vote against two challengers. New Jersey's 6th district, encompassing areas like Edison and Woodbridge along Raritan Bay plus coastal Monmouth County sections, has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles, including Pallone's 56% win in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan composition and the challenger's limited resources. Trader consensus at 94% for Democrats aligns with this structural edge and absence of major shifts. A Republican upset would require an unusually strong national midterm wave, significant local scandals, or sharply altered turnout patterns not evident in current polling or fundraising data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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