Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s D+2 Cook Partisan Voter Index and his consistent victories, including a 54.6% win in 2024. The district’s suburban northern New Jersey makeup, spanning Bergen, Passaic, and Sussex counties, has favored Democratic performance in recent cycles, reinforced by Gottheimer’s primary victory and the Republican nominee’s limited profile. Trader consensus reflects this structural and incumbency advantage. Potential shifts could arise from a pronounced national Republican wave, significant late developments affecting turnout in competitive suburbs, or unforeseen campaign dynamics that alter the narrow partisan margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,302 交易量
$16,302 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
92%
共和党
9%
$16,302 交易量
$16,302 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
$14,001 交易量
92%
共和党
$2,301 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s D+2 Cook Partisan Voter Index and his consistent victories, including a 54.6% win in 2024. The district’s suburban northern New Jersey makeup, spanning Bergen, Passaic, and Sussex counties, has favored Democratic performance in recent cycles, reinforced by Gottheimer’s primary victory and the Republican nominee’s limited profile. Trader consensus reflects this structural and incumbency advantage. Potential shifts could arise from a pronounced national Republican wave, significant late developments affecting turnout in competitive suburbs, or unforeseen campaign dynamics that alter the narrow partisan margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$16,302结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s D+2 Cook Partisan Voter Index and his consistent victories, including a 54.6% win in 2024. The district’s suburban northern New Jersey makeup, spanning Bergen, Passaic, and Sussex counties, has favored Democratic performance in recent cycles, reinforced by Gottheimer’s primary victory and the Republican nominee’s limited profile. Trader consensus reflects this structural and incumbency advantage. Potential shifts could arise from a pronounced national Republican wave, significant late developments affecting turnout in competitive suburbs, or unforeseen campaign dynamics that alter the narrow partisan margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,302结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s D+2 Cook Partisan Voter Index and his consistent victories, including a 54.6% win in 2024. The district’s suburban northern New Jersey makeup, spanning Bergen, Passaic, and Sussex counties, has favored Democratic performance in recent cycles, reinforced by Gottheimer’s primary victory and the Republican nominee’s limited profile. Trader consensus reflects this structural and incumbency advantage. Potential shifts could arise from a pronounced national Republican wave, significant late developments affecting turnout in competitive suburbs, or unforeseen campaign dynamics that alter the narrow partisan margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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