Incumbent Karen Bass holds the lead in trader consensus for the November 3 runoff, reflecting her name recognition, fundraising edge, and strong primary performance among Latino voters amid ongoing city challenges like homelessness and wildfire recovery. Nithya Raman, the progressive City Council member who advanced after edging out Spencer Pratt in the June 2 primary, has narrowed the gap through recent endorsements from labor groups and the Democratic Socialists of America, plus internal polls showing her ahead or tied. Campaign ads and attacks have intensified over issues including LAHSA oversight, Hollywood job losses, and Raman’s record on council votes and Palisades rebuilding, creating volatility that traders weigh against Bass’s institutional advantages heading into the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,818,546 交易量
$13,818,546 交易量
2026-12-31
卡伦·巴斯
63%
尼希亚·拉曼
37%
$13,818,546 交易量
$13,818,546 交易量
2026-12-31
卡伦·巴斯
$983,205 交易量
63%
尼希亚·拉曼
$1,689,002 交易量
37%
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds the lead in trader consensus for the November 3 runoff, reflecting her name recognition, fundraising edge, and strong primary performance among Latino voters amid ongoing city challenges like homelessness and wildfire recovery. Nithya Raman, the progressive City Council member who advanced after edging out Spencer Pratt in the June 2 primary, has narrowed the gap through recent endorsements from labor groups and the Democratic Socialists of America, plus internal polls showing her ahead or tied. Campaign ads and attacks have intensified over issues including LAHSA oversight, Hollywood job losses, and Raman’s record on council votes and Palisades rebuilding, creating volatility that traders weigh against Bass’s institutional advantages heading into the final weeks.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
市场开放时间： Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
交易量
$13,818,546结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ETThe 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds the lead in trader consensus for the November 3 runoff, reflecting her name recognition, fundraising edge, and strong primary performance among Latino voters amid ongoing city challenges like homelessness and wildfire recovery. Nithya Raman, the progressive City Council member who advanced after edging out Spencer Pratt in the June 2 primary, has narrowed the gap through recent endorsements from labor groups and the Democratic Socialists of America, plus internal polls showing her ahead or tied. Campaign ads and attacks have intensified over issues including LAHSA oversight, Hollywood job losses, and Raman’s record on council votes and Palisades rebuilding, creating volatility that traders weigh against Bass’s institutional advantages heading into the final weeks.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
交易量
$13,818,546结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ETIncumbent Karen Bass holds the lead in trader consensus for the November 3 runoff, reflecting her name recognition, fundraising edge, and strong primary performance among Latino voters amid ongoing city challenges like homelessness and wildfire recovery. Nithya Raman, the progressive City Council member who advanced after edging out Spencer Pratt in the June 2 primary, has narrowed the gap through recent endorsements from labor groups and the Democratic Socialists of America, plus internal polls showing her ahead or tied. Campaign ads and attacks have intensified over issues including LAHSA oversight, Hollywood job losses, and Raman’s record on council votes and Palisades rebuilding, creating volatility that traders weigh against Bass’s institutional advantages heading into the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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