Republican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith holds a commanding position in the 2026 Mississippi Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, including strong support in recent presidential elections, combined with her established incumbency and primary win. Democratic nominee Scott Colom has shown some improvement in name recognition and polling among key voting blocs like Black voters, narrowing the gap in recent surveys to roughly 6 points, yet forecasters maintain solid or safe Republican ratings reflecting structural advantages. An independent candidate adds a minor variable but has not altered the overall outlook. The 94.5% Republican consensus in trader pricing aligns with historical base rates for Senate outcomes in the state. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high Democratic turnout, late-breaking developments affecting candidate favorability, or results that trigger the state's majority-vote runoff provision on December 1.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$44,686 交易量
$44,686 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$44,686 交易量
$44,686 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$26,966 交易量
95%
民主党
$17,720 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith holds a commanding position in the 2026 Mississippi Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, including strong support in recent presidential elections, combined with her established incumbency and primary win. Democratic nominee Scott Colom has shown some improvement in name recognition and polling among key voting blocs like Black voters, narrowing the gap in recent surveys to roughly 6 points, yet forecasters maintain solid or safe Republican ratings reflecting structural advantages. An independent candidate adds a minor variable but has not altered the overall outlook. The 94.5% Republican consensus in trader pricing aligns with historical base rates for Senate outcomes in the state. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high Democratic turnout, late-breaking developments affecting candidate favorability, or results that trigger the state's majority-vote runoff provision on December 1.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$44,686结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith holds a commanding position in the 2026 Mississippi Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, including strong support in recent presidential elections, combined with her established incumbency and primary win. Democratic nominee Scott Colom has shown some improvement in name recognition and polling among key voting blocs like Black voters, narrowing the gap in recent surveys to roughly 6 points, yet forecasters maintain solid or safe Republican ratings reflecting structural advantages. An independent candidate adds a minor variable but has not altered the overall outlook. The 94.5% Republican consensus in trader pricing aligns with historical base rates for Senate outcomes in the state. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high Democratic turnout, late-breaking developments affecting candidate favorability, or results that trigger the state's majority-vote runoff provision on December 1.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$44,686结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETRepublican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith holds a commanding position in the 2026 Mississippi Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, including strong support in recent presidential elections, combined with her established incumbency and primary win. Democratic nominee Scott Colom has shown some improvement in name recognition and polling among key voting blocs like Black voters, narrowing the gap in recent surveys to roughly 6 points, yet forecasters maintain solid or safe Republican ratings reflecting structural advantages. An independent candidate adds a minor variable but has not altered the overall outlook. The 94.5% Republican consensus in trader pricing aligns with historical base rates for Senate outcomes in the state. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high Democratic turnout, late-breaking developments affecting candidate favorability, or results that trigger the state's majority-vote runoff provision on December 1.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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