Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in New York's 24th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles reflect its rural, conservative electorate along Lake Ontario. Tenney advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Alissa Ellman secured her party's nomination in late June after a low-profile contest. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, underscoring limited headroom for a Democratic upset absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. Trader consensus at 90% Republican reflects these structural and incumbency advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
90%
民主党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,194 交易量
90%
民主党
$3,552 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in New York's 24th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles reflect its rural, conservative electorate along Lake Ontario. Tenney advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Alissa Ellman secured her party's nomination in late June after a low-profile contest. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, underscoring limited headroom for a Democratic upset absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. Trader consensus at 90% Republican reflects these structural and incumbency advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$9,747结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in New York's 24th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles reflect its rural, conservative electorate along Lake Ontario. Tenney advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Alissa Ellman secured her party's nomination in late June after a low-profile contest. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, underscoring limited headroom for a Democratic upset absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. Trader consensus at 90% Republican reflects these structural and incumbency advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,747结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in New York's 24th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles reflect its rural, conservative electorate along Lake Ontario. Tenney advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Alissa Ellman secured her party's nomination in late June after a low-profile contest. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, underscoring limited headroom for a Democratic upset absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. Trader consensus at 90% Republican reflects these structural and incumbency advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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