The open Michigan Senate seat following Gary Peters’s retirement has produced a closely contested general election matchup, with trader pricing reflecting Michigan’s battleground status and mixed early polling after the August 4 primaries. Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination by a narrow 48.5–47.5 percent margin over Haley Stevens, positioning the progressive former health official against Republican Mike Rogers, who advanced unopposed. Recent surveys show Rogers ahead overall in one post-primary poll yet El-Sayed competitive or slightly ahead among likely voters, while El-Sayed’s repeated debate challenges and fundraising have sustained attention on candidate momentum and turnout dynamics. The slim 55–45.5 percent market split underscores uncertainty over which party’s base mobilization and messaging on economic and health issues will prevail by November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$439,034 交易量
$439,034 交易量
2026-11-03
阿卜杜勒·艾尔-萨耶德（民主党）
55%
迈克·罗杰斯（共和党）
46%
$439,034 交易量
$439,034 交易量
2026-11-03
阿卜杜勒·艾尔-萨耶德（民主党）
$228,162 交易量
55%
迈克·罗杰斯（共和党）
$210,872 交易量
46%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Michigan Senate seat following Gary Peters’s retirement has produced a closely contested general election matchup, with trader pricing reflecting Michigan’s battleground status and mixed early polling after the August 4 primaries. Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination by a narrow 48.5–47.5 percent margin over Haley Stevens, positioning the progressive former health official against Republican Mike Rogers, who advanced unopposed. Recent surveys show Rogers ahead overall in one post-primary poll yet El-Sayed competitive or slightly ahead among likely voters, while El-Sayed’s repeated debate challenges and fundraising have sustained attention on candidate momentum and turnout dynamics. The slim 55–45.5 percent market split underscores uncertainty over which party’s base mobilization and messaging on economic and health issues will prevail by November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$439,034结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Michigan Senate seat following Gary Peters’s retirement has produced a closely contested general election matchup, with trader pricing reflecting Michigan’s battleground status and mixed early polling after the August 4 primaries. Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination by a narrow 48.5–47.5 percent margin over Haley Stevens, positioning the progressive former health official against Republican Mike Rogers, who advanced unopposed. Recent surveys show Rogers ahead overall in one post-primary poll yet El-Sayed competitive or slightly ahead among likely voters, while El-Sayed’s repeated debate challenges and fundraising have sustained attention on candidate momentum and turnout dynamics. The slim 55–45.5 percent market split underscores uncertainty over which party’s base mobilization and messaging on economic and health issues will prevail by November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$439,034结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Michigan Senate seat following Gary Peters’s retirement has produced a closely contested general election matchup, with trader pricing reflecting Michigan’s battleground status and mixed early polling after the August 4 primaries. Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination by a narrow 48.5–47.5 percent margin over Haley Stevens, positioning the progressive former health official against Republican Mike Rogers, who advanced unopposed. Recent surveys show Rogers ahead overall in one post-primary poll yet El-Sayed competitive or slightly ahead among likely voters, while El-Sayed’s repeated debate challenges and fundraising have sustained attention on candidate momentum and turnout dynamics. The slim 55–45.5 percent market split underscores uncertainty over which party’s base mobilization and messaging on economic and health issues will prevail by November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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