Minnesota's structural Democratic advantage in federal elections, including no Republican Senate victory since 2002 and consistent statewide performance by the DFL, drives the market's assessment of a commanding position for the Democratic nominee. Tina Smith's decision not to seek reelection created an open seat, but the party's primary on August 11 features established candidates Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan with strong fundraising, endorsements, and name recognition. Republican primary contenders lack comparable statewide profiles or resources, and early general-election polling shows double-digit Democratic leads. A late national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or post-primary nominee vulnerabilities could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and forecaster ratings indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$35,267 交易量
$35,267 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$35,267 交易量
$35,267 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$24,162 交易量
94%
共和党
$11,105 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's structural Democratic advantage in federal elections, including no Republican Senate victory since 2002 and consistent statewide performance by the DFL, drives the market's assessment of a commanding position for the Democratic nominee. Tina Smith's decision not to seek reelection created an open seat, but the party's primary on August 11 features established candidates Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan with strong fundraising, endorsements, and name recognition. Republican primary contenders lack comparable statewide profiles or resources, and early general-election polling shows double-digit Democratic leads. A late national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or post-primary nominee vulnerabilities could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and forecaster ratings indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$35,267结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's structural Democratic advantage in federal elections, including no Republican Senate victory since 2002 and consistent statewide performance by the DFL, drives the market's assessment of a commanding position for the Democratic nominee. Tina Smith's decision not to seek reelection created an open seat, but the party's primary on August 11 features established candidates Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan with strong fundraising, endorsements, and name recognition. Republican primary contenders lack comparable statewide profiles or resources, and early general-election polling shows double-digit Democratic leads. A late national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or post-primary nominee vulnerabilities could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and forecaster ratings indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$35,267结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's structural Democratic advantage in federal elections, including no Republican Senate victory since 2002 and consistent statewide performance by the DFL, drives the market's assessment of a commanding position for the Democratic nominee. Tina Smith's decision not to seek reelection created an open seat, but the party's primary on August 11 features established candidates Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan with strong fundraising, endorsements, and name recognition. Republican primary contenders lack comparable statewide profiles or resources, and early general-election polling shows double-digit Democratic leads. A late national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or post-primary nominee vulnerabilities could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and forecaster ratings indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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