Minnesota's open Senate seat, created by Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, remains a strong hold for the party ahead of the November 2026 general election. Major forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the state's consistent partisan lean, where voters have not elected a Republican to the chamber since 2002. Democratic primary contenders including Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan lead in endorsements and fundraising, while Republican hopefuls such as Michele Tafoya top their side's August primary field. Early general election polling shows Democrats ahead by modest margins, and the absence of major shifts in voter sentiment or candidate dynamics has kept the implied probability of a Democratic winner near 90 percent. Upcoming primaries and any late-cycle developments could still influence positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,258 交易量
$25,258 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
90%
共和党
11%
$25,258 交易量
$25,258 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$17,228 交易量
90%
共和党
$8,030 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open Senate seat, created by Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, remains a strong hold for the party ahead of the November 2026 general election. Major forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the state's consistent partisan lean, where voters have not elected a Republican to the chamber since 2002. Democratic primary contenders including Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan lead in endorsements and fundraising, while Republican hopefuls such as Michele Tafoya top their side's August primary field. Early general election polling shows Democrats ahead by modest margins, and the absence of major shifts in voter sentiment or candidate dynamics has kept the implied probability of a Democratic winner near 90 percent. Upcoming primaries and any late-cycle developments could still influence positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$25,258结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open Senate seat, created by Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, remains a strong hold for the party ahead of the November 2026 general election. Major forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the state's consistent partisan lean, where voters have not elected a Republican to the chamber since 2002. Democratic primary contenders including Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan lead in endorsements and fundraising, while Republican hopefuls such as Michele Tafoya top their side's August primary field. Early general election polling shows Democrats ahead by modest margins, and the absence of major shifts in voter sentiment or candidate dynamics has kept the implied probability of a Democratic winner near 90 percent. Upcoming primaries and any late-cycle developments could still influence positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$25,258结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's open Senate seat, created by Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, remains a strong hold for the party ahead of the November 2026 general election. Major forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the state's consistent partisan lean, where voters have not elected a Republican to the chamber since 2002. Democratic primary contenders including Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan lead in endorsements and fundraising, while Republican hopefuls such as Michele Tafoya top their side's August primary field. Early general election polling shows Democrats ahead by modest margins, and the absence of major shifts in voter sentiment or candidate dynamics has kept the implied probability of a Democratic winner near 90 percent. Upcoming primaries and any late-cycle developments could still influence positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题