Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, following incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, features a Democratic primary contest between Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Representative Angie Craig ahead of the August 11 vote, with the general election on November 3. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, consistent with the state's recent electoral patterns and early general election polling showing Democratic candidates ahead of Republican contenders such as Royce White and Michele Tafoya. Trader consensus at 90% for a Democratic winner reflects these structural factors and the absence of major shifts in the past month, though outcomes remain subject to primary results, turnout dynamics, and any late-cycle developments within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,258 交易量
$25,258 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
90%
共和党
11%
$25,258 交易量
$25,258 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$17,228 交易量
90%
共和党
$8,030 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, following incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, features a Democratic primary contest between Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Representative Angie Craig ahead of the August 11 vote, with the general election on November 3. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, consistent with the state's recent electoral patterns and early general election polling showing Democratic candidates ahead of Republican contenders such as Royce White and Michele Tafoya. Trader consensus at 90% for a Democratic winner reflects these structural factors and the absence of major shifts in the past month, though outcomes remain subject to primary results, turnout dynamics, and any late-cycle developments within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$25,258结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, following incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, features a Democratic primary contest between Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Representative Angie Craig ahead of the August 11 vote, with the general election on November 3. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, consistent with the state's recent electoral patterns and early general election polling showing Democratic candidates ahead of Republican contenders such as Royce White and Michele Tafoya. Trader consensus at 90% for a Democratic winner reflects these structural factors and the absence of major shifts in the past month, though outcomes remain subject to primary results, turnout dynamics, and any late-cycle developments within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$25,258结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, following incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, features a Democratic primary contest between Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Representative Angie Craig ahead of the August 11 vote, with the general election on November 3. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, consistent with the state's recent electoral patterns and early general election polling showing Democratic candidates ahead of Republican contenders such as Royce White and Michele Tafoya. Trader consensus at 90% for a Democratic winner reflects these structural factors and the absence of major shifts in the past month, though outcomes remain subject to primary results, turnout dynamics, and any late-cycle developments within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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