Hillary Scholten, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2022 and reelected in 2024 with 53.7 percent, anchors the market's 67.5 percent Democratic consensus in Michigan's 3rd District. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and has shifted steadily leftward, with Kamala Harris carrying it by eight points in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Democratic. Republicans Ryan Cushman and Terri DeBoer are competing in the August 4 primary, but the district's partisan baseline and Scholten's established fundraising and name recognition limit their general-election prospects. With the November 3 general election still months away, trader positioning reflects these structural factors rather than any late-cycle shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
70%
共和党
32%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$478 交易量
70%
共和党
$163 交易量
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hillary Scholten, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2022 and reelected in 2024 with 53.7 percent, anchors the market's 67.5 percent Democratic consensus in Michigan's 3rd District. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and has shifted steadily leftward, with Kamala Harris carrying it by eight points in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Democratic. Republicans Ryan Cushman and Terri DeBoer are competing in the August 4 primary, but the district's partisan baseline and Scholten's established fundraising and name recognition limit their general-election prospects. With the November 3 general election still months away, trader positioning reflects these structural factors rather than any late-cycle shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
交易量
$641结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hillary Scholten, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2022 and reelected in 2024 with 53.7 percent, anchors the market's 67.5 percent Democratic consensus in Michigan's 3rd District. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and has shifted steadily leftward, with Kamala Harris carrying it by eight points in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Democratic. Republicans Ryan Cushman and Terri DeBoer are competing in the August 4 primary, but the district's partisan baseline and Scholten's established fundraising and name recognition limit their general-election prospects. With the November 3 general election still months away, trader positioning reflects these structural factors rather than any late-cycle shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$641结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hillary Scholten, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2022 and reelected in 2024 with 53.7 percent, anchors the market's 67.5 percent Democratic consensus in Michigan's 3rd District. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and has shifted steadily leftward, with Kamala Harris carrying it by eight points in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Democratic. Republicans Ryan Cushman and Terri DeBoer are competing in the August 4 primary, but the district's partisan baseline and Scholten's established fundraising and name recognition limit their general-election prospects. With the November 3 general election still months away, trader positioning reflects these structural factors rather than any late-cycle shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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