Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten seeks re-election in Michigan's 3rd district, a seat she flipped in 2022 and held by roughly ten points in 2024 amid the area's steady leftward shift since 2016. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely or Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index around D+4 and stronger recent Democratic performance in presidential and House contests. With primaries scheduled for August 2026 and the general election in November, limited early Republican field activity and the absence of major district-specific disruptions support trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 71.5 percent implied probability over the Republican Party at 32.6 percent. Upcoming candidate emergence or national midterm dynamics could still influence positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
72%
共和党
33%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$478 交易量
72%
共和党
$163 交易量
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten seeks re-election in Michigan's 3rd district, a seat she flipped in 2022 and held by roughly ten points in 2024 amid the area's steady leftward shift since 2016. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely or Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index around D+4 and stronger recent Democratic performance in presidential and House contests. With primaries scheduled for August 2026 and the general election in November, limited early Republican field activity and the absence of major district-specific disruptions support trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 71.5 percent implied probability over the Republican Party at 32.6 percent. Upcoming candidate emergence or national midterm dynamics could still influence positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
交易量
$641结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten seeks re-election in Michigan's 3rd district, a seat she flipped in 2022 and held by roughly ten points in 2024 amid the area's steady leftward shift since 2016. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely or Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index around D+4 and stronger recent Democratic performance in presidential and House contests. With primaries scheduled for August 2026 and the general election in November, limited early Republican field activity and the absence of major district-specific disruptions support trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 71.5 percent implied probability over the Republican Party at 32.6 percent. Upcoming candidate emergence or national midterm dynamics could still influence positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$641结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten seeks re-election in Michigan's 3rd district, a seat she flipped in 2022 and held by roughly ten points in 2024 amid the area's steady leftward shift since 2016. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely or Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index around D+4 and stronger recent Democratic performance in presidential and House contests. With primaries scheduled for August 2026 and the general election in November, limited early Republican field activity and the absence of major district-specific disruptions support trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 71.5 percent implied probability over the Republican Party at 32.6 percent. Upcoming candidate emergence or national midterm dynamics could still influence positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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