The Michigan 7th congressional district remains a toss-up battleground, with first-term Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing Democrat William Lawrence in the November 2026 general election. Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in the August primary by defeating two more moderate rivals, drawing national attention for his progressive platform centered on climate policy, data center restrictions, and expanded social programs. The DCCC’s recent addition of Lawrence to its Red to Blue program has boosted Democratic resources and organization in the Lansing-area seat, which Barrett flipped in 2024. Tight polling averages and trader pricing reflect the district’s underlying partisan balance, Barrett’s vulnerability as a freshman, and questions over whether Lawrence’s grassroots strength can overcome any moderation concerns among swing voters before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,426 交易量
$20,426 交易量
威廉·劳伦斯(民主党)
52%
汤姆·巴雷特(共和党)
47%
$20,426 交易量
$20,426 交易量
威廉·劳伦斯(民主党)
52%
汤姆·巴雷特(共和党)
47%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
The Michigan 7th congressional district remains a toss-up battleground, with first-term Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing Democrat William Lawrence in the November 2026 general election. Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in the August primary by defeating two more moderate rivals, drawing national attention for his progressive platform centered on climate policy, data center restrictions, and expanded social programs. The DCCC’s recent addition of Lawrence to its Red to Blue program has boosted Democratic resources and organization in the Lansing-area seat, which Barrett flipped in 2024. Tight polling averages and trader pricing reflect the district’s underlying partisan balance, Barrett’s vulnerability as a freshman, and questions over whether Lawrence’s grassroots strength can overcome any moderation concerns among swing voters before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题