Michigan's 7th congressional district remains an even Partisan Voter Index seat and a toss-up per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings, with Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing a Democratic primary featuring Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam on August 4. Recent head-to-head polling from April 2026 shows Democratic candidates leading Barrett by margins ranging from 1 to 17 points, reflecting the district's swing character after Barrett's narrow 2024 victory in the open seat previously held by Democrat Elissa Slotkin. Midterm dynamics, campaign fundraising totals favoring several Democratic entrants, and the district's inclusion of college-heavy areas like Ingham County contribute to trader consensus pricing a Democratic win as the strong favorite, while the Republican path depends on primary consolidation and turnout patterns in this competitive battleground.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
84%
共和党
16%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$6,342 交易量
84%
共和党
$1,973 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains an even Partisan Voter Index seat and a toss-up per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings, with Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing a Democratic primary featuring Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam on August 4. Recent head-to-head polling from April 2026 shows Democratic candidates leading Barrett by margins ranging from 1 to 17 points, reflecting the district's swing character after Barrett's narrow 2024 victory in the open seat previously held by Democrat Elissa Slotkin. Midterm dynamics, campaign fundraising totals favoring several Democratic entrants, and the district's inclusion of college-heavy areas like Ingham County contribute to trader consensus pricing a Democratic win as the strong favorite, while the Republican path depends on primary consolidation and turnout patterns in this competitive battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$8,315结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains an even Partisan Voter Index seat and a toss-up per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings, with Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing a Democratic primary featuring Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam on August 4. Recent head-to-head polling from April 2026 shows Democratic candidates leading Barrett by margins ranging from 1 to 17 points, reflecting the district's swing character after Barrett's narrow 2024 victory in the open seat previously held by Democrat Elissa Slotkin. Midterm dynamics, campaign fundraising totals favoring several Democratic entrants, and the district's inclusion of college-heavy areas like Ingham County contribute to trader consensus pricing a Democratic win as the strong favorite, while the Republican path depends on primary consolidation and turnout patterns in this competitive battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,315结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 7th congressional district remains an even Partisan Voter Index seat and a toss-up per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings, with Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing a Democratic primary featuring Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam on August 4. Recent head-to-head polling from April 2026 shows Democratic candidates leading Barrett by margins ranging from 1 to 17 points, reflecting the district's swing character after Barrett's narrow 2024 victory in the open seat previously held by Democrat Elissa Slotkin. Midterm dynamics, campaign fundraising totals favoring several Democratic entrants, and the district's inclusion of college-heavy areas like Ingham County contribute to trader consensus pricing a Democratic win as the strong favorite, while the Republican path depends on primary consolidation and turnout patterns in this competitive battleground.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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