The Michigan 7th congressional district, rated a toss-up by major forecasters, features Republican incumbent Tom Barrett seeking a second term against a competitive Democratic primary field headlined by former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink. Recent polling shows Democratic candidates holding narrow leads or statistical ties in head-to-head matchups, reflecting the even partisan voter index and the district's mix of suburban, college, and rural counties. Traders have priced in an 80.5% probability for a Democratic victory ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election, consistent with the seat's history of narrow margins and the national midterm dynamics typical for the president's party. No major late-breaking developments have altered the positioning in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
84%
共和党
17%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$6,342 交易量
84%
共和党
$1,970 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 7th congressional district, rated a toss-up by major forecasters, features Republican incumbent Tom Barrett seeking a second term against a competitive Democratic primary field headlined by former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink. Recent polling shows Democratic candidates holding narrow leads or statistical ties in head-to-head matchups, reflecting the even partisan voter index and the district's mix of suburban, college, and rural counties. Traders have priced in an 80.5% probability for a Democratic victory ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election, consistent with the seat's history of narrow margins and the national midterm dynamics typical for the president's party. No major late-breaking developments have altered the positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$8,312结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 7th congressional district, rated a toss-up by major forecasters, features Republican incumbent Tom Barrett seeking a second term against a competitive Democratic primary field headlined by former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink. Recent polling shows Democratic candidates holding narrow leads or statistical ties in head-to-head matchups, reflecting the even partisan voter index and the district's mix of suburban, college, and rural counties. Traders have priced in an 80.5% probability for a Democratic victory ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election, consistent with the seat's history of narrow margins and the national midterm dynamics typical for the president's party. No major late-breaking developments have altered the positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,312结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Michigan 7th congressional district, rated a toss-up by major forecasters, features Republican incumbent Tom Barrett seeking a second term against a competitive Democratic primary field headlined by former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink. Recent polling shows Democratic candidates holding narrow leads or statistical ties in head-to-head matchups, reflecting the even partisan voter index and the district's mix of suburban, college, and rural counties. Traders have priced in an 80.5% probability for a Democratic victory ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election, consistent with the seat's history of narrow margins and the national midterm dynamics typical for the president's party. No major late-breaking developments have altered the positioning in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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