Michigan's 7th congressional district, centered on the Lansing-East Lansing area with portions of surrounding counties, remains a competitive swing district. Republican incumbent Tom Barrett flipped the seat in 2024 with a narrow 50.3% margin after previous Democratic control. The August 4 Democratic primary features leading candidate Bridget Brink, a former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine, ahead in recent polling against other contenders. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 67% implied probability of winning the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district's toss-up status, historical voting patterns, and typical midterm dynamics challenging the incumbent party. The Republican primary features Barrett seeking renomination in a race still viewed as winnable by either side depending on nominee strength and turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,475 交易量
$14,475 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
67%
共和党
33%
$14,475 交易量
$14,475 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
$9,672 交易量
67%
共和党
$4,803 交易量
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district, centered on the Lansing-East Lansing area with portions of surrounding counties, remains a competitive swing district. Republican incumbent Tom Barrett flipped the seat in 2024 with a narrow 50.3% margin after previous Democratic control. The August 4 Democratic primary features leading candidate Bridget Brink, a former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine, ahead in recent polling against other contenders. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 67% implied probability of winning the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district's toss-up status, historical voting patterns, and typical midterm dynamics challenging the incumbent party. The Republican primary features Barrett seeking renomination in a race still viewed as winnable by either side depending on nominee strength and turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$14,475结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district, centered on the Lansing-East Lansing area with portions of surrounding counties, remains a competitive swing district. Republican incumbent Tom Barrett flipped the seat in 2024 with a narrow 50.3% margin after previous Democratic control. The August 4 Democratic primary features leading candidate Bridget Brink, a former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine, ahead in recent polling against other contenders. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 67% implied probability of winning the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district's toss-up status, historical voting patterns, and typical midterm dynamics challenging the incumbent party. The Republican primary features Barrett seeking renomination in a race still viewed as winnable by either side depending on nominee strength and turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,475结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 7th congressional district, centered on the Lansing-East Lansing area with portions of surrounding counties, remains a competitive swing district. Republican incumbent Tom Barrett flipped the seat in 2024 with a narrow 50.3% margin after previous Democratic control. The August 4 Democratic primary features leading candidate Bridget Brink, a former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine, ahead in recent polling against other contenders. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 67% implied probability of winning the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district's toss-up status, historical voting patterns, and typical midterm dynamics challenging the incumbent party. The Republican primary features Barrett seeking renomination in a race still viewed as winnable by either side depending on nominee strength and turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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