Michigan’s 7th congressional district remains one of the nation’s tightest House contests, with incumbent Republican Tom Barrett facing Democrat William Lawrence in a race rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary through strong grassroots organization and volunteer turnout, overcoming two more moderate rivals. National Democratic support intensified on September 15 when the DCCC added him to its Red to Blue program. Polling averages show Barrett and Lawrence separated by roughly two points, reflecting the district’s competitive partisan balance and the broader contest for House control. Upcoming campaign spending, additional polling, and voter response to local economic and energy issues could widen or narrow the margin before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,426 交易量
$20,426 交易量
威廉·劳伦斯(民主党)
52%
汤姆·巴雷特(共和党)
47%
$20,426 交易量
$20,426 交易量
威廉·劳伦斯(民主党)
52%
汤姆·巴雷特(共和党)
47%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Michigan’s 7th congressional district remains one of the nation’s tightest House contests, with incumbent Republican Tom Barrett facing Democrat William Lawrence in a race rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary through strong grassroots organization and volunteer turnout, overcoming two more moderate rivals. National Democratic support intensified on September 15 when the DCCC added him to its Red to Blue program. Polling averages show Barrett and Lawrence separated by roughly two points, reflecting the district’s competitive partisan balance and the broader contest for House control. Upcoming campaign spending, additional polling, and voter response to local economic and energy issues could widen or narrow the margin before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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