The open seat in Michigan’s 10th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent John James to pursue a Senate bid, has emerged as a prime battleground for the 2026 midterms. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Republican or a Toss-up, reflecting its competitive nature in Macomb County suburbs. Democrats benefit from a well-funded primary field including Christina Hines, Eric Chung, and Tim Greimel, alongside early head-to-head polls showing mixed but occasionally favorable results for their nominees. Republicans face their own crowded August 4 primary led by Michael Bouchard. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns Democrats a modest edge, driven by national midterm dynamics, fundraising patterns, and the district’s recent electoral volatility rather than any single decisive event in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
62%
共和党
42%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$774 交易量
62%
共和党
$268 交易量
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan’s 10th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent John James to pursue a Senate bid, has emerged as a prime battleground for the 2026 midterms. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Republican or a Toss-up, reflecting its competitive nature in Macomb County suburbs. Democrats benefit from a well-funded primary field including Christina Hines, Eric Chung, and Tim Greimel, alongside early head-to-head polls showing mixed but occasionally favorable results for their nominees. Republicans face their own crowded August 4 primary led by Michael Bouchard. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns Democrats a modest edge, driven by national midterm dynamics, fundraising patterns, and the district’s recent electoral volatility rather than any single decisive event in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
交易量
$1,042结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan’s 10th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent John James to pursue a Senate bid, has emerged as a prime battleground for the 2026 midterms. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Republican or a Toss-up, reflecting its competitive nature in Macomb County suburbs. Democrats benefit from a well-funded primary field including Christina Hines, Eric Chung, and Tim Greimel, alongside early head-to-head polls showing mixed but occasionally favorable results for their nominees. Republicans face their own crowded August 4 primary led by Michael Bouchard. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns Democrats a modest edge, driven by national midterm dynamics, fundraising patterns, and the district’s recent electoral volatility rather than any single decisive event in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,042结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Michigan’s 10th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent John James to pursue a Senate bid, has emerged as a prime battleground for the 2026 midterms. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Republican or a Toss-up, reflecting its competitive nature in Macomb County suburbs. Democrats benefit from a well-funded primary field including Christina Hines, Eric Chung, and Tim Greimel, alongside early head-to-head polls showing mixed but occasionally favorable results for their nominees. Republicans face their own crowded August 4 primary led by Michael Bouchard. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns Democrats a modest edge, driven by national midterm dynamics, fundraising patterns, and the district’s recent electoral volatility rather than any single decisive event in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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