Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Jack Codiga in the November general election. The district’s partisan composition, centered in the Charlotte area, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, and Cook Political Report rates the seat Solidly Democratic. Adams has held the seat since 2014 with minimal opposition, and recent redistricting preserved its core Democratic tilt. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 94 percent because the combination of incumbency advantage, fundraising strength, and structural lean leaves little realistic path for a Republican upset. A late scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national shift would be required to alter the trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$47,800 交易量
$47,800 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$47,800 交易量
$47,800 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$16,931 交易量
94%
共和党
$30,869 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Jack Codiga in the November general election. The district’s partisan composition, centered in the Charlotte area, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, and Cook Political Report rates the seat Solidly Democratic. Adams has held the seat since 2014 with minimal opposition, and recent redistricting preserved its core Democratic tilt. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 94 percent because the combination of incumbency advantage, fundraising strength, and structural lean leaves little realistic path for a Republican upset. A late scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national shift would be required to alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$47,800结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Jack Codiga in the November general election. The district’s partisan composition, centered in the Charlotte area, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, and Cook Political Report rates the seat Solidly Democratic. Adams has held the seat since 2014 with minimal opposition, and recent redistricting preserved its core Democratic tilt. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 94 percent because the combination of incumbency advantage, fundraising strength, and structural lean leaves little realistic path for a Republican upset. A late scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national shift would be required to alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$47,800结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Jack Codiga in the November general election. The district’s partisan composition, centered in the Charlotte area, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, and Cook Political Report rates the seat Solidly Democratic. Adams has held the seat since 2014 with minimal opposition, and recent redistricting preserved its core Democratic tilt. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 94 percent because the combination of incumbency advantage, fundraising strength, and structural lean leaves little realistic path for a Republican upset. A late scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national shift would be required to alter the trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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