Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary alongside fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce after capturing over 80 percent of the vote in California's 12th district, while the sole Republican contender received negligible support and failed to qualify for the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan registration advantage and historical voting patterns that have produced large Democratic margins in recent cycles. With both general election candidates from the same party, trader consensus at 95.5 percent for a Democratic outcome aligns with the structural absence of viable opposition. A Republican victory would require unprecedented events such as candidate disqualifications or legal interventions that alter ballot access after the primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$41,549 交易量
$41,549 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
4%
$41,549 交易量
$41,549 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$24,662 交易量
96%
共和党
$16,887 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary alongside fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce after capturing over 80 percent of the vote in California's 12th district, while the sole Republican contender received negligible support and failed to qualify for the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan registration advantage and historical voting patterns that have produced large Democratic margins in recent cycles. With both general election candidates from the same party, trader consensus at 95.5 percent for a Democratic outcome aligns with the structural absence of viable opposition. A Republican victory would require unprecedented events such as candidate disqualifications or legal interventions that alter ballot access after the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$41,549结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary alongside fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce after capturing over 80 percent of the vote in California's 12th district, while the sole Republican contender received negligible support and failed to qualify for the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan registration advantage and historical voting patterns that have produced large Democratic margins in recent cycles. With both general election candidates from the same party, trader consensus at 95.5 percent for a Democratic outcome aligns with the structural absence of viable opposition. A Republican victory would require unprecedented events such as candidate disqualifications or legal interventions that alter ballot access after the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$41,549结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary alongside fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce after capturing over 80 percent of the vote in California's 12th district, while the sole Republican contender received negligible support and failed to qualify for the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan registration advantage and historical voting patterns that have produced large Democratic margins in recent cycles. With both general election candidates from the same party, trader consensus at 95.5 percent for a Democratic outcome aligns with the structural absence of viable opposition. A Republican victory would require unprecedented events such as candidate disqualifications or legal interventions that alter ballot access after the primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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