Incumbent Democratic Rep. Adam Gray advanced from the June 2 primary alongside Republican Kevin Lincoln in California's 13th district, a Central Valley seat Gray flipped by under 200 votes in 2024. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the map slightly toward Democrats, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Lean or Tilt Democratic. Gray's incumbency and primary performance have reinforced trader consensus around the Democratic nominee's stronger position heading into the November general election, though Lincoln's profile as a former mayor keeps the Republican side competitive in this battleground district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
87%
共和党
20%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$862 交易量
87%
共和党
$1,328 交易量
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Adam Gray advanced from the June 2 primary alongside Republican Kevin Lincoln in California's 13th district, a Central Valley seat Gray flipped by under 200 votes in 2024. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the map slightly toward Democrats, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Lean or Tilt Democratic. Gray's incumbency and primary performance have reinforced trader consensus around the Democratic nominee's stronger position heading into the November general election, though Lincoln's profile as a former mayor keeps the Republican side competitive in this battleground district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
交易量
$2,190结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Adam Gray advanced from the June 2 primary alongside Republican Kevin Lincoln in California's 13th district, a Central Valley seat Gray flipped by under 200 votes in 2024. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the map slightly toward Democrats, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Lean or Tilt Democratic. Gray's incumbency and primary performance have reinforced trader consensus around the Democratic nominee's stronger position heading into the November general election, though Lincoln's profile as a former mayor keeps the Republican side competitive in this battleground district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,190结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Adam Gray advanced from the June 2 primary alongside Republican Kevin Lincoln in California's 13th district, a Central Valley seat Gray flipped by under 200 votes in 2024. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the map slightly toward Democrats, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Lean or Tilt Democratic. Gray's incumbency and primary performance have reinforced trader consensus around the Democratic nominee's stronger position heading into the November general election, though Lincoln's profile as a former mayor keeps the Republican side competitive in this battleground district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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