Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray, who captured the Central Valley seat by fewer than 200 votes in 2024, benefits from a district now rated lean Democratic following Proposition 50 redistricting that shifted its partisan voting index slightly in his favor. The June 2 jungle primary advanced Gray alongside Republican Kevin Lincoln, with Gray demonstrating stronger fundraising and party infrastructure. Forecasters including Cook Political Report and Inside Elections maintain lean or tilt Democratic assessments, reflecting the seat's underlying math and Gray's incumbency advantage heading into the November general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee an 87.5 percent implied probability of victory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
87%
共和党
22%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$862 交易量
87%
共和党
$1,328 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray, who captured the Central Valley seat by fewer than 200 votes in 2024, benefits from a district now rated lean Democratic following Proposition 50 redistricting that shifted its partisan voting index slightly in his favor. The June 2 jungle primary advanced Gray alongside Republican Kevin Lincoln, with Gray demonstrating stronger fundraising and party infrastructure. Forecasters including Cook Political Report and Inside Elections maintain lean or tilt Democratic assessments, reflecting the seat's underlying math and Gray's incumbency advantage heading into the November general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee an 87.5 percent implied probability of victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
交易量
$2,190结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray, who captured the Central Valley seat by fewer than 200 votes in 2024, benefits from a district now rated lean Democratic following Proposition 50 redistricting that shifted its partisan voting index slightly in his favor. The June 2 jungle primary advanced Gray alongside Republican Kevin Lincoln, with Gray demonstrating stronger fundraising and party infrastructure. Forecasters including Cook Political Report and Inside Elections maintain lean or tilt Democratic assessments, reflecting the seat's underlying math and Gray's incumbency advantage heading into the November general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee an 87.5 percent implied probability of victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,190结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray, who captured the Central Valley seat by fewer than 200 votes in 2024, benefits from a district now rated lean Democratic following Proposition 50 redistricting that shifted its partisan voting index slightly in his favor. The June 2 jungle primary advanced Gray alongside Republican Kevin Lincoln, with Gray demonstrating stronger fundraising and party infrastructure. Forecasters including Cook Political Report and Inside Elections maintain lean or tilt Democratic assessments, reflecting the seat's underlying math and Gray's incumbency advantage heading into the November general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee an 87.5 percent implied probability of victory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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