The Socialist Party's July 2026 member vote for a closed primary limited to its own ranks and close allies like Place Publique effectively ended prospects for a broad unitary left primary scheduled for October 11. This followed earlier withdrawals by key figures including Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, alongside consistent non-participation from La France Insoumise and the Communist Party. Recent statements from LFI coordinator Manuel Bompard declaring the effort "definitively failed" and Écologist leader Marine Tondelier shifting focus have reinforced the trajectory. Trader consensus on cancellation reflects these structural barriers in coalition-building ahead of the 2027 presidential election. Late reversals remain possible only through unexpected new negotiations among remaining smaller parties such as Les Écologistes and Debout! or sudden realignments in left-wing alliances.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于已取消 93.4%
François Ruffin 1.3%
Clémentine Autain <1%
Marine Tondelier <1%
$203,113 交易量
$203,113 交易量
2026-10-10
已取消
93%
François Ruffin
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Marine Tondelier
<1%
本杰明·卢卡斯-伦迪
<1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
已取消 93.4%
François Ruffin 1.3%
Clémentine Autain <1%
Marine Tondelier <1%
$203,113 交易量
$203,113 交易量
2026-10-10
已取消
$67,620 交易量
93%
François Ruffin
$31,112 交易量
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,369 交易量
1%
Marine Tondelier
$49,568 交易量
<1%
本杰明·卢卡斯-伦迪
$4,216 交易量
<1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 交易量
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 member vote for a closed primary limited to its own ranks and close allies like Place Publique effectively ended prospects for a broad unitary left primary scheduled for October 11. This followed earlier withdrawals by key figures including Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, alongside consistent non-participation from La France Insoumise and the Communist Party. Recent statements from LFI coordinator Manuel Bompard declaring the effort "definitively failed" and Écologist leader Marine Tondelier shifting focus have reinforced the trajectory. Trader consensus on cancellation reflects these structural barriers in coalition-building ahead of the 2027 presidential election. Late reversals remain possible only through unexpected new negotiations among remaining smaller parties such as Les Écologistes and Debout! or sudden realignments in left-wing alliances.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
交易量
$203,113结束日期
2026-10-11市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 member vote for a closed primary limited to its own ranks and close allies like Place Publique effectively ended prospects for a broad unitary left primary scheduled for October 11. This followed earlier withdrawals by key figures including Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, alongside consistent non-participation from La France Insoumise and the Communist Party. Recent statements from LFI coordinator Manuel Bompard declaring the effort "definitively failed" and Écologist leader Marine Tondelier shifting focus have reinforced the trajectory. Trader consensus on cancellation reflects these structural barriers in coalition-building ahead of the 2027 presidential election. Late reversals remain possible only through unexpected new negotiations among remaining smaller parties such as Les Écologistes and Debout! or sudden realignments in left-wing alliances.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$203,113结束日期
2026-10-11市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Socialist Party's July 2026 member vote for a closed primary limited to its own ranks and close allies like Place Publique effectively ended prospects for a broad unitary left primary scheduled for October 11. This followed earlier withdrawals by key figures including Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, alongside consistent non-participation from La France Insoumise and the Communist Party. Recent statements from LFI coordinator Manuel Bompard declaring the effort "definitively failed" and Écologist leader Marine Tondelier shifting focus have reinforced the trajectory. Trader consensus on cancellation reflects these structural barriers in coalition-building ahead of the 2027 presidential election. Late reversals remain possible only through unexpected new negotiations among remaining smaller parties such as Les Écologistes and Debout! or sudden realignments in left-wing alliances.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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