The proposed 2026 United Left primary, intended to select a single presidential candidate for 2027 from participating groups including Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!, has seen its prospects collapse due to repeated withdrawals and non-participation by key actors. The Socialist Party opted for its own closed primary after member votes rejected broader inclusion, while La France Insoumise and the Communist Party have consistently declined to join and are advancing separate candidacies. Recent statements from LFI coordinator Manuel Bompard explicitly declared the process failed, citing shifting positions even among initial backers like Marine Tondelier. Candidate dropouts, including Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, have further eroded momentum ahead of the scheduled October 11 vote. Trader consensus on cancellation reflects these structural barriers, though revival would require coordinated reversals by major left parties before the planned date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于已取消 93.5%
François Ruffin 1.3%
Clémentine Autain <1%
Marine Tondelier <1%
$206,539 交易量
$206,539 交易量
2026-10-10
已取消
94%
François Ruffin
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Marine Tondelier
<1%
本杰明·卢卡斯-伦迪
<1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
已取消 93.5%
François Ruffin 1.3%
Clémentine Autain <1%
Marine Tondelier <1%
$206,539 交易量
$206,539 交易量
2026-10-10
已取消
$71,047 交易量
94%
François Ruffin
$31,112 交易量
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,369 交易量
1%
Marine Tondelier
$49,568 交易量
<1%
本杰明·卢卡斯-伦迪
$4,216 交易量
<1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 交易量
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The proposed 2026 United Left primary, intended to select a single presidential candidate for 2027 from participating groups including Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!, has seen its prospects collapse due to repeated withdrawals and non-participation by key actors. The Socialist Party opted for its own closed primary after member votes rejected broader inclusion, while La France Insoumise and the Communist Party have consistently declined to join and are advancing separate candidacies. Recent statements from LFI coordinator Manuel Bompard explicitly declared the process failed, citing shifting positions even among initial backers like Marine Tondelier. Candidate dropouts, including Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, have further eroded momentum ahead of the scheduled October 11 vote. Trader consensus on cancellation reflects these structural barriers, though revival would require coordinated reversals by major left parties before the planned date.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
交易量
$206,539结束日期
2026-10-11市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The proposed 2026 United Left primary, intended to select a single presidential candidate for 2027 from participating groups including Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!, has seen its prospects collapse due to repeated withdrawals and non-participation by key actors. The Socialist Party opted for its own closed primary after member votes rejected broader inclusion, while La France Insoumise and the Communist Party have consistently declined to join and are advancing separate candidacies. Recent statements from LFI coordinator Manuel Bompard explicitly declared the process failed, citing shifting positions even among initial backers like Marine Tondelier. Candidate dropouts, including Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, have further eroded momentum ahead of the scheduled October 11 vote. Trader consensus on cancellation reflects these structural barriers, though revival would require coordinated reversals by major left parties before the planned date.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$206,539结束日期
2026-10-11市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The proposed 2026 United Left primary, intended to select a single presidential candidate for 2027 from participating groups including Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!, has seen its prospects collapse due to repeated withdrawals and non-participation by key actors. The Socialist Party opted for its own closed primary after member votes rejected broader inclusion, while La France Insoumise and the Communist Party have consistently declined to join and are advancing separate candidacies. Recent statements from LFI coordinator Manuel Bompard explicitly declared the process failed, citing shifting positions even among initial backers like Marine Tondelier. Candidate dropouts, including Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, have further eroded momentum ahead of the scheduled October 11 vote. Trader consensus on cancellation reflects these structural barriers, though revival would require coordinated reversals by major left parties before the planned date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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