Incumbent Democratic Representative Pete Aguilar seeks re-election in California's 33rd congressional district, a seat with a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in recent voting patterns and forecaster ratings of solid or safe Democratic. Multiple candidates filed for the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, yet the district's composition favors the Democratic nominee advancing to and prevailing in the November general election. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and historical outcomes in similar California districts. A major national political shift, unexpected primary upset producing an unusually weak Democratic candidate, or late legal or eligibility issues could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,773 交易量
93%
共和党
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Pete Aguilar seeks re-election in California's 33rd congressional district, a seat with a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in recent voting patterns and forecaster ratings of solid or safe Democratic. Multiple candidates filed for the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, yet the district's composition favors the Democratic nominee advancing to and prevailing in the November general election. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and historical outcomes in similar California districts. A major national political shift, unexpected primary upset producing an unusually weak Democratic candidate, or late legal or eligibility issues could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$2,773结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Pete Aguilar seeks re-election in California's 33rd congressional district, a seat with a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in recent voting patterns and forecaster ratings of solid or safe Democratic. Multiple candidates filed for the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, yet the district's composition favors the Democratic nominee advancing to and prevailing in the November general election. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and historical outcomes in similar California districts. A major national political shift, unexpected primary upset producing an unusually weak Democratic candidate, or late legal or eligibility issues could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,773结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Pete Aguilar seeks re-election in California's 33rd congressional district, a seat with a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in recent voting patterns and forecaster ratings of solid or safe Democratic. Multiple candidates filed for the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, yet the district's composition favors the Democratic nominee advancing to and prevailing in the November general election. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and historical outcomes in similar California districts. A major national political shift, unexpected primary upset producing an unusually weak Democratic candidate, or late legal or eligibility issues could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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