Trader sentiment for the CA-31 House election shows a strong Democratic advantage rooted in the district's consistent partisan voting history and demographic makeup in California's Inland Empire. An established incumbent benefits from name recognition and fundraising edges typical in safe seats, with limited Republican infrastructure or crossover appeal evident in recent cycles. The current pricing reflects this structural edge. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal involving the frontrunner, a health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that boosts turnout and candidate quality in battleground-adjacent areas.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,442 交易量
$11,442 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$11,442 交易量
$11,442 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$7,679 交易量
95%
共和党
$3,763 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader sentiment for the CA-31 House election shows a strong Democratic advantage rooted in the district's consistent partisan voting history and demographic makeup in California's Inland Empire. An established incumbent benefits from name recognition and fundraising edges typical in safe seats, with limited Republican infrastructure or crossover appeal evident in recent cycles. The current pricing reflects this structural edge. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal involving the frontrunner, a health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that boosts turnout and candidate quality in battleground-adjacent areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$11,442结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader sentiment for the CA-31 House election shows a strong Democratic advantage rooted in the district's consistent partisan voting history and demographic makeup in California's Inland Empire. An established incumbent benefits from name recognition and fundraising edges typical in safe seats, with limited Republican infrastructure or crossover appeal evident in recent cycles. The current pricing reflects this structural edge. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal involving the frontrunner, a health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that boosts turnout and candidate quality in battleground-adjacent areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,442结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment for the CA-31 House election shows a strong Democratic advantage rooted in the district's consistent partisan voting history and demographic makeup in California's Inland Empire. An established incumbent benefits from name recognition and fundraising edges typical in safe seats, with limited Republican infrastructure or crossover appeal evident in recent cycles. The current pricing reflects this structural edge. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal involving the frontrunner, a health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that boosts turnout and candidate quality in battleground-adjacent areas.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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