Democratic incumbent Gil Cisneros holds a commanding position in California's 31st congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The San Gabriel Valley seat's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by recent redistricting that strengthened partisan advantages for the party, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Cisneros secured the nomination in the June 2 primary with over 56 percent of the vote against Republican challengers, continuing the pattern of comfortable margins in prior cycles. Low Republican registration and turnout patterns in the district further limit opposition prospects. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or a broad national partisan shift could still alter the trajectory, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,015 交易量
$10,015 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$10,015 交易量
$10,015 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,902 交易量
95%
共和党
$3,113 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Gil Cisneros holds a commanding position in California's 31st congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The San Gabriel Valley seat's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by recent redistricting that strengthened partisan advantages for the party, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Cisneros secured the nomination in the June 2 primary with over 56 percent of the vote against Republican challengers, continuing the pattern of comfortable margins in prior cycles. Low Republican registration and turnout patterns in the district further limit opposition prospects. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or a broad national partisan shift could still alter the trajectory, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$10,015结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Gil Cisneros holds a commanding position in California's 31st congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The San Gabriel Valley seat's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by recent redistricting that strengthened partisan advantages for the party, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Cisneros secured the nomination in the June 2 primary with over 56 percent of the vote against Republican challengers, continuing the pattern of comfortable margins in prior cycles. Low Republican registration and turnout patterns in the district further limit opposition prospects. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or a broad national partisan shift could still alter the trajectory, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,015结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Gil Cisneros holds a commanding position in California's 31st congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The San Gabriel Valley seat's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by recent redistricting that strengthened partisan advantages for the party, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Cisneros secured the nomination in the June 2 primary with over 56 percent of the vote against Republican challengers, continuing the pattern of comfortable margins in prior cycles. Low Republican registration and turnout patterns in the district further limit opposition prospects. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or a broad national partisan shift could still alter the trajectory, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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