Incumbent John Carter's strong position stems from his long tenure representing the R+11 district, decisive 60% win in the March 2026 Republican primary against multiple challengers, and endorsements including from President Trump. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, combined with Carter's substantial fundraising lead over Democrat Justin Early—who won his March primary but faces structural headwinds—underpin trader consensus. Early's campaign emphasizes issues like healthcare and veterans' care, yet lacks evidence of closing the gap in a solidly Republican seat. Carter's age remains a noted variable that could open pathways for shifts if health concerns or unforeseen developments arise before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$45,380 交易量
$45,380 交易量
2026-11-02
约翰·卡特 (共和党)
94%
贾斯汀·厄尔利（民主党）
7%
$45,380 交易量
$45,380 交易量
2026-11-02
约翰·卡特 (共和党)
$24,919 交易量
94%
贾斯汀·厄尔利（民主党）
$20,462 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent John Carter's strong position stems from his long tenure representing the R+11 district, decisive 60% win in the March 2026 Republican primary against multiple challengers, and endorsements including from President Trump. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, combined with Carter's substantial fundraising lead over Democrat Justin Early—who won his March primary but faces structural headwinds—underpin trader consensus. Early's campaign emphasizes issues like healthcare and veterans' care, yet lacks evidence of closing the gap in a solidly Republican seat. Carter's age remains a noted variable that could open pathways for shifts if health concerns or unforeseen developments arise before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$45,380结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent John Carter's strong position stems from his long tenure representing the R+11 district, decisive 60% win in the March 2026 Republican primary against multiple challengers, and endorsements including from President Trump. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, combined with Carter's substantial fundraising lead over Democrat Justin Early—who won his March primary but faces structural headwinds—underpin trader consensus. Early's campaign emphasizes issues like healthcare and veterans' care, yet lacks evidence of closing the gap in a solidly Republican seat. Carter's age remains a noted variable that could open pathways for shifts if health concerns or unforeseen developments arise before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$45,380结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETIncumbent John Carter's strong position stems from his long tenure representing the R+11 district, decisive 60% win in the March 2026 Republican primary against multiple challengers, and endorsements including from President Trump. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, combined with Carter's substantial fundraising lead over Democrat Justin Early—who won his March primary but faces structural headwinds—underpin trader consensus. Early's campaign emphasizes issues like healthcare and veterans' care, yet lacks evidence of closing the gap in a solidly Republican seat. Carter's age remains a noted variable that could open pathways for shifts if health concerns or unforeseen developments arise before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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