Texas's 31st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reinforced by incumbent John Carter's decisive victory in the March 2026 Republican primary and consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. With the Democratic nominee selected and no major shifts in voter registration, fundraising, or redistricting affecting the seat since the last cycle, traders assign the Republican Party an 84.5% implied probability of holding the district in the November general election. The 15.5% Democratic share reflects limited path-to-victory factors in this safely Republican-leaning area.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,261 交易量
$14,261 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
85%
民主党
16%
$14,261 交易量
$14,261 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,990 交易量
85%
民主党
$5,271 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 31st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reinforced by incumbent John Carter's decisive victory in the March 2026 Republican primary and consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. With the Democratic nominee selected and no major shifts in voter registration, fundraising, or redistricting affecting the seat since the last cycle, traders assign the Republican Party an 84.5% implied probability of holding the district in the November general election. The 15.5% Democratic share reflects limited path-to-victory factors in this safely Republican-leaning area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$14,261结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 31st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reinforced by incumbent John Carter's decisive victory in the March 2026 Republican primary and consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. With the Democratic nominee selected and no major shifts in voter registration, fundraising, or redistricting affecting the seat since the last cycle, traders assign the Republican Party an 84.5% implied probability of holding the district in the November general election. The 15.5% Democratic share reflects limited path-to-victory factors in this safely Republican-leaning area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,261结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 31st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reinforced by incumbent John Carter's decisive victory in the March 2026 Republican primary and consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. With the Democratic nominee selected and no major shifts in voter registration, fundraising, or redistricting affecting the seat since the last cycle, traders assign the Republican Party an 84.5% implied probability of holding the district in the November general election. The 15.5% Democratic share reflects limited path-to-victory factors in this safely Republican-leaning area.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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