Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 30th congressional district with roughly 73 percent in the March 2026 primary, backed by endorsements from outgoing Rep. Jasmine Crockett and labor and progressive groups. The open seat in this heavily Democratic Dallas-area district, which favored the Democratic presidential nominee by wide margins in prior cycles, has drawn Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced through a low-turnout May runoff but trails significantly in fundraising and lacks comparable institutional support. Current market pricing reflects these structural and campaign fundamentals ahead of the November general election, though late developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals remain possible variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$48,309 交易量
$48,309 交易量
2026-11-02
弗雷德里克·海恩斯三世（民主党）
96%
埃弗雷特·杰克逊（共和党）
3%
$48,309 交易量
$48,309 交易量
2026-11-02
弗雷德里克·海恩斯三世（民主党）
$5,583 交易量
96%
埃弗雷特·杰克逊（共和党）
$42,726 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 30th congressional district with roughly 73 percent in the March 2026 primary, backed by endorsements from outgoing Rep. Jasmine Crockett and labor and progressive groups. The open seat in this heavily Democratic Dallas-area district, which favored the Democratic presidential nominee by wide margins in prior cycles, has drawn Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced through a low-turnout May runoff but trails significantly in fundraising and lacks comparable institutional support. Current market pricing reflects these structural and campaign fundamentals ahead of the November general election, though late developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals remain possible variables.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$48,309结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 30th congressional district with roughly 73 percent in the March 2026 primary, backed by endorsements from outgoing Rep. Jasmine Crockett and labor and progressive groups. The open seat in this heavily Democratic Dallas-area district, which favored the Democratic presidential nominee by wide margins in prior cycles, has drawn Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced through a low-turnout May runoff but trails significantly in fundraising and lacks comparable institutional support. Current market pricing reflects these structural and campaign fundamentals ahead of the November general election, though late developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals remain possible variables.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$48,309结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETFrederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 30th congressional district with roughly 73 percent in the March 2026 primary, backed by endorsements from outgoing Rep. Jasmine Crockett and labor and progressive groups. The open seat in this heavily Democratic Dallas-area district, which favored the Democratic presidential nominee by wide margins in prior cycles, has drawn Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced through a low-turnout May runoff but trails significantly in fundraising and lacks comparable institutional support. Current market pricing reflects these structural and campaign fundamentals ahead of the November general election, though late developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals remain possible variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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