The heavily Democratic lean of Texas's 30th congressional district, reflected in its D+25 partisan voter index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Frederick Haynes secured the Democratic primary in March 2026 following the retirement of prior representative Jasmine Crockett, while Everett Jackson advanced through the Republican primary runoff in May. These outcomes align with the district's voting patterns in recent presidential cycles and leave limited room for a Republican general-election challenge on November 3, 2026. A late scandal involving the Democratic candidate or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the structural advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,810 交易量
93%
共和党
$3,483 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic lean of Texas's 30th congressional district, reflected in its D+25 partisan voter index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Frederick Haynes secured the Democratic primary in March 2026 following the retirement of prior representative Jasmine Crockett, while Everett Jackson advanced through the Republican primary runoff in May. These outcomes align with the district's voting patterns in recent presidential cycles and leave limited room for a Republican general-election challenge on November 3, 2026. A late scandal involving the Democratic candidate or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the structural advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$6,293结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic lean of Texas's 30th congressional district, reflected in its D+25 partisan voter index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Frederick Haynes secured the Democratic primary in March 2026 following the retirement of prior representative Jasmine Crockett, while Everett Jackson advanced through the Republican primary runoff in May. These outcomes align with the district's voting patterns in recent presidential cycles and leave limited room for a Republican general-election challenge on November 3, 2026. A late scandal involving the Democratic candidate or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the structural advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,293结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic lean of Texas's 30th congressional district, reflected in its D+25 partisan voter index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Frederick Haynes secured the Democratic primary in March 2026 following the retirement of prior representative Jasmine Crockett, while Everett Jackson advanced through the Republican primary runoff in May. These outcomes align with the district's voting patterns in recent presidential cycles and leave limited room for a Republican general-election challenge on November 3, 2026. A late scandal involving the Democratic candidate or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the structural advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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