The solidly Democratic lean of Texas's 30th congressional district underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a Senate bid prompted a March 2026 primary won decisively by Frederick Haynes, while Republicans advanced to a runoff between Everett Jackson and Sholdon Daniels. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent past margins and demographic patterns that limit crossover appeal. A Republican general-election victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or national conditions by November 3, 2026, though late developments such as scandals or extreme swings in voter sentiment could theoretically narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,810 交易量
93%
共和党
$3,483 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic lean of Texas's 30th congressional district underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a Senate bid prompted a March 2026 primary won decisively by Frederick Haynes, while Republicans advanced to a runoff between Everett Jackson and Sholdon Daniels. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent past margins and demographic patterns that limit crossover appeal. A Republican general-election victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or national conditions by November 3, 2026, though late developments such as scandals or extreme swings in voter sentiment could theoretically narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$6,293结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic lean of Texas's 30th congressional district underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a Senate bid prompted a March 2026 primary won decisively by Frederick Haynes, while Republicans advanced to a runoff between Everett Jackson and Sholdon Daniels. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent past margins and demographic patterns that limit crossover appeal. A Republican general-election victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or national conditions by November 3, 2026, though late developments such as scandals or extreme swings in voter sentiment could theoretically narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,293结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Democratic lean of Texas's 30th congressional district underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a Senate bid prompted a March 2026 primary won decisively by Frederick Haynes, while Republicans advanced to a runoff between Everett Jackson and Sholdon Daniels. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent past margins and demographic patterns that limit crossover appeal. A Republican general-election victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or national conditions by November 3, 2026, though late developments such as scandals or extreme swings in voter sentiment could theoretically narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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