The Republican nominee David Flippo holds a strong position in Nevada’s 2nd congressional district due to the seat’s R+7 partisan voter index and the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei, which opened the race but preserved its underlying electoral math. Flippo defeated a crowded primary field in June 2026 to advance against Democratic nominee Teresa Benitez-Thompson, whose campaign has not yet shifted the district’s historical preference for Republican candidates, including a decisive 2024 presidential margin. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Likely Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path-to-victory despite one summer poll showing a narrow lead for Benitez-Thompson within the margin of error. Traders price the Republican outcome at 74.5 percent as the default expectation absent major late-cycle developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or external events before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,571 交易量
$29,571 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
75%
民主党
22%
$29,571 交易量
$29,571 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$15,562 交易量
75%
民主党
$14,009 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee David Flippo holds a strong position in Nevada’s 2nd congressional district due to the seat’s R+7 partisan voter index and the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei, which opened the race but preserved its underlying electoral math. Flippo defeated a crowded primary field in June 2026 to advance against Democratic nominee Teresa Benitez-Thompson, whose campaign has not yet shifted the district’s historical preference for Republican candidates, including a decisive 2024 presidential margin. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Likely Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path-to-victory despite one summer poll showing a narrow lead for Benitez-Thompson within the margin of error. Traders price the Republican outcome at 74.5 percent as the default expectation absent major late-cycle developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or external events before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$29,571结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee David Flippo holds a strong position in Nevada’s 2nd congressional district due to the seat’s R+7 partisan voter index and the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei, which opened the race but preserved its underlying electoral math. Flippo defeated a crowded primary field in June 2026 to advance against Democratic nominee Teresa Benitez-Thompson, whose campaign has not yet shifted the district’s historical preference for Republican candidates, including a decisive 2024 presidential margin. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Likely Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path-to-victory despite one summer poll showing a narrow lead for Benitez-Thompson within the margin of error. Traders price the Republican outcome at 74.5 percent as the default expectation absent major late-cycle developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or external events before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$29,571结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee David Flippo holds a strong position in Nevada’s 2nd congressional district due to the seat’s R+7 partisan voter index and the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei, which opened the race but preserved its underlying electoral math. Flippo defeated a crowded primary field in June 2026 to advance against Democratic nominee Teresa Benitez-Thompson, whose campaign has not yet shifted the district’s historical preference for Republican candidates, including a decisive 2024 presidential margin. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Likely Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path-to-victory despite one summer poll showing a narrow lead for Benitez-Thompson within the margin of error. Traders price the Republican outcome at 74.5 percent as the default expectation absent major late-cycle developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or external events before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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