Steven Horsford, the Democratic incumbent in Nevada’s 4th congressional district, faces no primary opposition and enters the November general election as the clear favorite against Republican nominee Cody Whipple, who secured his party’s nomination with 61 percent of the vote on June 9. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2 and is rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting its modest Democratic tilt and Horsford’s 2024 reelection margin. With the primary cycle now complete and no major recent developments altering the race’s fundamentals, trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 85 percent probability to a Democratic hold, consistent with the seat’s structural advantages and the limited national attention it has drawn so far.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
86%
共和党
16%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$827 交易量
86%
共和党
$605 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steven Horsford, the Democratic incumbent in Nevada’s 4th congressional district, faces no primary opposition and enters the November general election as the clear favorite against Republican nominee Cody Whipple, who secured his party’s nomination with 61 percent of the vote on June 9. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2 and is rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting its modest Democratic tilt and Horsford’s 2024 reelection margin. With the primary cycle now complete and no major recent developments altering the race’s fundamentals, trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 85 percent probability to a Democratic hold, consistent with the seat’s structural advantages and the limited national attention it has drawn so far.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$1,432结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steven Horsford, the Democratic incumbent in Nevada’s 4th congressional district, faces no primary opposition and enters the November general election as the clear favorite against Republican nominee Cody Whipple, who secured his party’s nomination with 61 percent of the vote on June 9. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2 and is rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting its modest Democratic tilt and Horsford’s 2024 reelection margin. With the primary cycle now complete and no major recent developments altering the race’s fundamentals, trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 85 percent probability to a Democratic hold, consistent with the seat’s structural advantages and the limited national attention it has drawn so far.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,432结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Steven Horsford, the Democratic incumbent in Nevada’s 4th congressional district, faces no primary opposition and enters the November general election as the clear favorite against Republican nominee Cody Whipple, who secured his party’s nomination with 61 percent of the vote on June 9. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2 and is rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting its modest Democratic tilt and Horsford’s 2024 reelection margin. With the primary cycle now complete and no major recent developments altering the race’s fundamentals, trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 85 percent probability to a Democratic hold, consistent with the seat’s structural advantages and the limited national attention it has drawn so far.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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