Democratic incumbent Steven Horsford, who won his 2024 reelection with 52.7 percent and faces no primary opposition, anchors trader sentiment in Nevada’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2, and recent nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify it as Likely Democratic. On June 9, 2026, Cody Whipple secured the Republican nomination with roughly 62 percent of the primary vote, yet the race remains low-priority for national Republican resources. The combination of incumbency, modest Democratic tilt, and absence of major recent disruptions sustains the current market consensus around an elevated probability for the Democratic nominee.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
75%
共和党
17%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$827 交易量
75%
共和党
$605 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Steven Horsford, who won his 2024 reelection with 52.7 percent and faces no primary opposition, anchors trader sentiment in Nevada’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2, and recent nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify it as Likely Democratic. On June 9, 2026, Cody Whipple secured the Republican nomination with roughly 62 percent of the primary vote, yet the race remains low-priority for national Republican resources. The combination of incumbency, modest Democratic tilt, and absence of major recent disruptions sustains the current market consensus around an elevated probability for the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$1,432结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Steven Horsford, who won his 2024 reelection with 52.7 percent and faces no primary opposition, anchors trader sentiment in Nevada’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2, and recent nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify it as Likely Democratic. On June 9, 2026, Cody Whipple secured the Republican nomination with roughly 62 percent of the primary vote, yet the race remains low-priority for national Republican resources. The combination of incumbency, modest Democratic tilt, and absence of major recent disruptions sustains the current market consensus around an elevated probability for the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,432结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Steven Horsford, who won his 2024 reelection with 52.7 percent and faces no primary opposition, anchors trader sentiment in Nevada’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2, and recent nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify it as Likely Democratic. On June 9, 2026, Cody Whipple secured the Republican nomination with roughly 62 percent of the primary vote, yet the race remains low-priority for national Republican resources. The combination of incumbency, modest Democratic tilt, and absence of major recent disruptions sustains the current market consensus around an elevated probability for the Democratic nominee.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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