Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee secured the party nomination in a narrow March 2026 primary victory over challenger Nida Allam in North Carolina's 4th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Democratic with a partisan voting index exceeding D+20. The district's voter composition in Durham and surrounding areas has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, limiting Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar to minimal viability in the November general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects this structural advantage and the absence of major developments since the primary that would alter the trajectory. Late-cycle factors such as a significant scandal, candidate health event, or sharp national political realignment could still shift probabilities before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,397 交易量
$19,397 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$19,397 交易量
$19,397 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$13,756 交易量
94%
共和党
$5,642 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee secured the party nomination in a narrow March 2026 primary victory over challenger Nida Allam in North Carolina's 4th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Democratic with a partisan voting index exceeding D+20. The district's voter composition in Durham and surrounding areas has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, limiting Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar to minimal viability in the November general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects this structural advantage and the absence of major developments since the primary that would alter the trajectory. Late-cycle factors such as a significant scandal, candidate health event, or sharp national political realignment could still shift probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$19,397结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee secured the party nomination in a narrow March 2026 primary victory over challenger Nida Allam in North Carolina's 4th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Democratic with a partisan voting index exceeding D+20. The district's voter composition in Durham and surrounding areas has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, limiting Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar to minimal viability in the November general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects this structural advantage and the absence of major developments since the primary that would alter the trajectory. Late-cycle factors such as a significant scandal, candidate health event, or sharp national political realignment could still shift probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,397结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee secured the party nomination in a narrow March 2026 primary victory over challenger Nida Allam in North Carolina's 4th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Democratic with a partisan voting index exceeding D+20. The district's voter composition in Durham and surrounding areas has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, limiting Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar to minimal viability in the November general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects this structural advantage and the absence of major developments since the primary that would alter the trajectory. Late-cycle factors such as a significant scandal, candidate health event, or sharp national political realignment could still shift probabilities before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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