North Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, anchored by strong performance in Durham and Orange counties and reinforced by the 2024 results that delivered the incumbent over 70 percent of the vote. Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces limited opposition from Republican nominee Max Ganorkar after the GOP primary was canceled. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and the absence of major redistricting shifts or national tailwinds that could alter the balance. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would include a sustained national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout in suburban Wake County precincts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,735 交易量
$28,735 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$28,735 交易量
$28,735 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,749 交易量
95%
共和党
$13,986 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, anchored by strong performance in Durham and Orange counties and reinforced by the 2024 results that delivered the incumbent over 70 percent of the vote. Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces limited opposition from Republican nominee Max Ganorkar after the GOP primary was canceled. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and the absence of major redistricting shifts or national tailwinds that could alter the balance. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would include a sustained national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout in suburban Wake County precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$28,735结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, anchored by strong performance in Durham and Orange counties and reinforced by the 2024 results that delivered the incumbent over 70 percent of the vote. Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces limited opposition from Republican nominee Max Ganorkar after the GOP primary was canceled. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and the absence of major redistricting shifts or national tailwinds that could alter the balance. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would include a sustained national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout in suburban Wake County precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,735结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, anchored by strong performance in Durham and Orange counties and reinforced by the 2024 results that delivered the incumbent over 70 percent of the vote. Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces limited opposition from Republican nominee Max Ganorkar after the GOP primary was canceled. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and the absence of major redistricting shifts or national tailwinds that could alter the balance. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would include a sustained national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout in suburban Wake County precincts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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