North Carolina’s 6th congressional district, redrawn in late 2025, carries a pronounced Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus. Incumbent Republican Addison McDowell advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Cyril Jefferson emerged from a four-candidate primary to face him in the November general election alongside an independent. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index and historical results in the reconfigured map have positioned it as solidly Republican, limiting Democratic path-to-victory scenarios. With the general election still five months away, limited polling and fundraising data have kept probabilities stable, though late-cycle developments in turnout or candidate resources could narrow margins in this safely held seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,901 交易量
$16,901 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
80%
民主党
18%
$16,901 交易量
$16,901 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,583 交易量
80%
民主党
$7,318 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 6th congressional district, redrawn in late 2025, carries a pronounced Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus. Incumbent Republican Addison McDowell advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Cyril Jefferson emerged from a four-candidate primary to face him in the November general election alongside an independent. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index and historical results in the reconfigured map have positioned it as solidly Republican, limiting Democratic path-to-victory scenarios. With the general election still five months away, limited polling and fundraising data have kept probabilities stable, though late-cycle developments in turnout or candidate resources could narrow margins in this safely held seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$16,901结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 6th congressional district, redrawn in late 2025, carries a pronounced Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus. Incumbent Republican Addison McDowell advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Cyril Jefferson emerged from a four-candidate primary to face him in the November general election alongside an independent. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index and historical results in the reconfigured map have positioned it as solidly Republican, limiting Democratic path-to-victory scenarios. With the general election still five months away, limited polling and fundraising data have kept probabilities stable, though late-cycle developments in turnout or candidate resources could narrow margins in this safely held seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,901结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina’s 6th congressional district, redrawn in late 2025, carries a pronounced Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus. Incumbent Republican Addison McDowell advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Cyril Jefferson emerged from a four-candidate primary to face him in the November general election alongside an independent. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index and historical results in the reconfigured map have positioned it as solidly Republican, limiting Democratic path-to-victory scenarios. With the general election still five months away, limited polling and fundraising data have kept probabilities stable, though late-cycle developments in turnout or candidate resources could narrow margins in this safely held seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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