Virginia's 2nd congressional district remains a competitive contest for the November 2026 general election, with the Democratic nominee favored in trader consensus due to the district's marginal partisan balance and a strong primary field. Incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans faces a Democratic primary on August 4 featuring former Representative Elaine Luria and other contenders who have raised significant funds, positioning the eventual nominee for a potential rematch. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the seat as a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting recent statewide Democratic performance and the absence of major shifts in local dynamics since early 2026. Fundraising totals and candidate recruitment on the Democratic side continue to support elevated probabilities for a party flip compared to Republican defenses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
74%
共和党
18%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$297 交易量
74%
共和党
$526 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 2nd congressional district remains a competitive contest for the November 2026 general election, with the Democratic nominee favored in trader consensus due to the district's marginal partisan balance and a strong primary field. Incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans faces a Democratic primary on August 4 featuring former Representative Elaine Luria and other contenders who have raised significant funds, positioning the eventual nominee for a potential rematch. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the seat as a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting recent statewide Democratic performance and the absence of major shifts in local dynamics since early 2026. Fundraising totals and candidate recruitment on the Democratic side continue to support elevated probabilities for a party flip compared to Republican defenses.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$823结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 2nd congressional district remains a competitive contest for the November 2026 general election, with the Democratic nominee favored in trader consensus due to the district's marginal partisan balance and a strong primary field. Incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans faces a Democratic primary on August 4 featuring former Representative Elaine Luria and other contenders who have raised significant funds, positioning the eventual nominee for a potential rematch. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the seat as a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting recent statewide Democratic performance and the absence of major shifts in local dynamics since early 2026. Fundraising totals and candidate recruitment on the Democratic side continue to support elevated probabilities for a party flip compared to Republican defenses.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$823结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 2nd congressional district remains a competitive contest for the November 2026 general election, with the Democratic nominee favored in trader consensus due to the district's marginal partisan balance and a strong primary field. Incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans faces a Democratic primary on August 4 featuring former Representative Elaine Luria and other contenders who have raised significant funds, positioning the eventual nominee for a potential rematch. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the seat as a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting recent statewide Democratic performance and the absence of major shifts in local dynamics since early 2026. Fundraising totals and candidate recruitment on the Democratic side continue to support elevated probabilities for a party flip compared to Republican defenses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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