The competitive nature of Virginia's 2nd congressional district, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by multiple forecasters, underpins the market's heavy Democratic tilt ahead of the November general election. Incumbent Republican Jennifer Kiggans faces a rematch against former Representative Elaine Luria, who secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary and benefits from unified party support plus typical midterm headwinds against the president's party. Fundraising totals remain substantial on both sides, while the even partisan voting index and Hampton Roads demographics keep the seat highly sensitive to turnout and national conditions. Late-cycle developments such as polling trends or campaign events could still shift the narrow margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,111 交易量
$21,111 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
84%
共和党
16%
$21,111 交易量
$21,111 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
$7,330 交易量
84%
共和党
$13,781 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive nature of Virginia's 2nd congressional district, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by multiple forecasters, underpins the market's heavy Democratic tilt ahead of the November general election. Incumbent Republican Jennifer Kiggans faces a rematch against former Representative Elaine Luria, who secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary and benefits from unified party support plus typical midterm headwinds against the president's party. Fundraising totals remain substantial on both sides, while the even partisan voting index and Hampton Roads demographics keep the seat highly sensitive to turnout and national conditions. Late-cycle developments such as polling trends or campaign events could still shift the narrow margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$21,111结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive nature of Virginia's 2nd congressional district, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by multiple forecasters, underpins the market's heavy Democratic tilt ahead of the November general election. Incumbent Republican Jennifer Kiggans faces a rematch against former Representative Elaine Luria, who secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary and benefits from unified party support plus typical midterm headwinds against the president's party. Fundraising totals remain substantial on both sides, while the even partisan voting index and Hampton Roads demographics keep the seat highly sensitive to turnout and national conditions. Late-cycle developments such as polling trends or campaign events could still shift the narrow margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,111结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The competitive nature of Virginia's 2nd congressional district, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by multiple forecasters, underpins the market's heavy Democratic tilt ahead of the November general election. Incumbent Republican Jennifer Kiggans faces a rematch against former Representative Elaine Luria, who secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary and benefits from unified party support plus typical midterm headwinds against the president's party. Fundraising totals remain substantial on both sides, while the even partisan voting index and Hampton Roads demographics keep the seat highly sensitive to turnout and national conditions. Late-cycle developments such as polling trends or campaign events could still shift the narrow margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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