Incumbent Republican Jennifer Kiggans faces a competitive rematch in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District, where Democrats have recruited a crowded primary field including former representative Elaine Luria. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the seat as a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s narrow 2024 margins and its military-heavy Hampton Roads electorate. Traders appear to price in Democratic advantages in fundraising momentum, primary recruitment, and broader midterm dynamics, while noting Kiggans’s incumbency and primary strength as the main Republican counterweights. The August Democratic primary and subsequent general election on November 3 remain key upcoming catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
77%
共和党
26%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$297 交易量
77%
共和党
$526 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jennifer Kiggans faces a competitive rematch in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District, where Democrats have recruited a crowded primary field including former representative Elaine Luria. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the seat as a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s narrow 2024 margins and its military-heavy Hampton Roads electorate. Traders appear to price in Democratic advantages in fundraising momentum, primary recruitment, and broader midterm dynamics, while noting Kiggans’s incumbency and primary strength as the main Republican counterweights. The August Democratic primary and subsequent general election on November 3 remain key upcoming catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$823结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jennifer Kiggans faces a competitive rematch in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District, where Democrats have recruited a crowded primary field including former representative Elaine Luria. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the seat as a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s narrow 2024 margins and its military-heavy Hampton Roads electorate. Traders appear to price in Democratic advantages in fundraising momentum, primary recruitment, and broader midterm dynamics, while noting Kiggans’s incumbency and primary strength as the main Republican counterweights. The August Democratic primary and subsequent general election on November 3 remain key upcoming catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$823结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jennifer Kiggans faces a competitive rematch in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District, where Democrats have recruited a crowded primary field including former representative Elaine Luria. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the seat as a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s narrow 2024 margins and its military-heavy Hampton Roads electorate. Traders appear to price in Democratic advantages in fundraising momentum, primary recruitment, and broader midterm dynamics, while noting Kiggans’s incumbency and primary strength as the main Republican counterweights. The August Democratic primary and subsequent general election on November 3 remain key upcoming catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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