Virginia's 6th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat under the current map, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and consistent strong performance for the GOP in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 28-point margin in 2024. Republican Ben Cline, first elected in 2018, holds a clear advantage as the presumptive nominee facing Democrat Beth Macy, a journalist and author. A May 2026 Virginia Supreme Court ruling struck down a Democratic-backed redistricting referendum, preserving the district's western Virginia boundaries centered on the Shenandoah Valley and Roanoke area rather than shifting it toward more competitive territory. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current Polymarket odds. Primaries are scheduled for August 4 ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$84,247 交易量
$84,247 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
82%
民主党
14%
$84,247 交易量
$84,247 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$29,720 交易量
82%
民主党
$54,527 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 6th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat under the current map, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and consistent strong performance for the GOP in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 28-point margin in 2024. Republican Ben Cline, first elected in 2018, holds a clear advantage as the presumptive nominee facing Democrat Beth Macy, a journalist and author. A May 2026 Virginia Supreme Court ruling struck down a Democratic-backed redistricting referendum, preserving the district's western Virginia boundaries centered on the Shenandoah Valley and Roanoke area rather than shifting it toward more competitive territory. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current Polymarket odds. Primaries are scheduled for August 4 ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$84,247结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 6th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat under the current map, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and consistent strong performance for the GOP in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 28-point margin in 2024. Republican Ben Cline, first elected in 2018, holds a clear advantage as the presumptive nominee facing Democrat Beth Macy, a journalist and author. A May 2026 Virginia Supreme Court ruling struck down a Democratic-backed redistricting referendum, preserving the district's western Virginia boundaries centered on the Shenandoah Valley and Roanoke area rather than shifting it toward more competitive territory. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current Polymarket odds. Primaries are scheduled for August 4 ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$84,247结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 6th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat under the current map, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and consistent strong performance for the GOP in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 28-point margin in 2024. Republican Ben Cline, first elected in 2018, holds a clear advantage as the presumptive nominee facing Democrat Beth Macy, a journalist and author. A May 2026 Virginia Supreme Court ruling struck down a Democratic-backed redistricting referendum, preserving the district's western Virginia boundaries centered on the Shenandoah Valley and Roanoke area rather than shifting it toward more competitive territory. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current Polymarket odds. Primaries are scheduled for August 4 ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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