Incumbent Republican Ben Cline seeks re-election in Virginia’s 6th Congressional District, a western Virginia seat covering the Shenandoah Valley and anchored by Roanoke that carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and supported Donald Trump by wide margins in recent presidential contests. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent Republican performance and Cline’s 2024 margin exceeding 28 points. Democratic nominee Beth Macy, winner of the August primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have dominated recent House elections. The August primary and November general election timelines remain the primary near-term milestones, with no major late developments altering the partisan baseline. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 85% implied probability, consistent with these entrenched electoral fundamentals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$83,739 交易量
$83,739 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
84%
民主党
13%
$83,739 交易量
$83,739 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$29,333 交易量
84%
民主党
$54,407 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ben Cline seeks re-election in Virginia’s 6th Congressional District, a western Virginia seat covering the Shenandoah Valley and anchored by Roanoke that carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and supported Donald Trump by wide margins in recent presidential contests. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent Republican performance and Cline’s 2024 margin exceeding 28 points. Democratic nominee Beth Macy, winner of the August primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have dominated recent House elections. The August primary and November general election timelines remain the primary near-term milestones, with no major late developments altering the partisan baseline. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 85% implied probability, consistent with these entrenched electoral fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$83,739结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ben Cline seeks re-election in Virginia’s 6th Congressional District, a western Virginia seat covering the Shenandoah Valley and anchored by Roanoke that carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and supported Donald Trump by wide margins in recent presidential contests. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent Republican performance and Cline’s 2024 margin exceeding 28 points. Democratic nominee Beth Macy, winner of the August primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have dominated recent House elections. The August primary and November general election timelines remain the primary near-term milestones, with no major late developments altering the partisan baseline. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 85% implied probability, consistent with these entrenched electoral fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$83,739结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ben Cline seeks re-election in Virginia’s 6th Congressional District, a western Virginia seat covering the Shenandoah Valley and anchored by Roanoke that carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and supported Donald Trump by wide margins in recent presidential contests. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent Republican performance and Cline’s 2024 margin exceeding 28 points. Democratic nominee Beth Macy, winner of the August primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have dominated recent House elections. The August primary and November general election timelines remain the primary near-term milestones, with no major late developments altering the partisan baseline. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 85% implied probability, consistent with these entrenched electoral fundamentals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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