Virginia's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat under the 2021 map upheld after the state Supreme Court invalidated mid-decade redistricting efforts in May 2026. Incumbent Representative Ben Cline secured reelection by 28 points in 2024 in a district that backed the Republican presidential nominee by 24 points, contributing to nonpartisan forecasters rating the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican. Democratic primary nominee Beth Macy faces structural headwinds in a district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12, limiting prospects for a competitive general election on November 3. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 86.5 percent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$83,739 交易量
$83,739 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
86%
民主党
13%
$83,739 交易量
$83,739 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$29,333 交易量
86%
民主党
$54,407 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat under the 2021 map upheld after the state Supreme Court invalidated mid-decade redistricting efforts in May 2026. Incumbent Representative Ben Cline secured reelection by 28 points in 2024 in a district that backed the Republican presidential nominee by 24 points, contributing to nonpartisan forecasters rating the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican. Democratic primary nominee Beth Macy faces structural headwinds in a district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12, limiting prospects for a competitive general election on November 3. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 86.5 percent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$83,739结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat under the 2021 map upheld after the state Supreme Court invalidated mid-decade redistricting efforts in May 2026. Incumbent Representative Ben Cline secured reelection by 28 points in 2024 in a district that backed the Republican presidential nominee by 24 points, contributing to nonpartisan forecasters rating the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican. Democratic primary nominee Beth Macy faces structural headwinds in a district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12, limiting prospects for a competitive general election on November 3. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 86.5 percent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$83,739结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat under the 2021 map upheld after the state Supreme Court invalidated mid-decade redistricting efforts in May 2026. Incumbent Representative Ben Cline secured reelection by 28 points in 2024 in a district that backed the Republican presidential nominee by 24 points, contributing to nonpartisan forecasters rating the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican. Democratic primary nominee Beth Macy faces structural headwinds in a district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12, limiting prospects for a competitive general election on November 3. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 86.5 percent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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