Republican incumbent Michael Rulli holds a commanding position in Ohio's 6th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's established Republican lean and his 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points. The district, spanning Appalachian Ohio and the Mahoning Valley, favors GOP candidates in recent cycles, and Rulli advanced through the May primary without significant opposition. Democratic nominee Elizabeth Kirtley faces structural headwinds in a race rated solidly Republican by nonpartisan analysts, with limited polling shifts observed through early August. Trader consensus around 93% Republican odds aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a national Democratic surge, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin in the final months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$61,867 交易量
$61,867 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
$61,867 交易量
$61,867 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$24,936 交易量
94%
民主党
$36,932 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Michael Rulli holds a commanding position in Ohio's 6th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's established Republican lean and his 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points. The district, spanning Appalachian Ohio and the Mahoning Valley, favors GOP candidates in recent cycles, and Rulli advanced through the May primary without significant opposition. Democratic nominee Elizabeth Kirtley faces structural headwinds in a race rated solidly Republican by nonpartisan analysts, with limited polling shifts observed through early August. Trader consensus around 93% Republican odds aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a national Democratic surge, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$61,867结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Michael Rulli holds a commanding position in Ohio's 6th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's established Republican lean and his 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points. The district, spanning Appalachian Ohio and the Mahoning Valley, favors GOP candidates in recent cycles, and Rulli advanced through the May primary without significant opposition. Democratic nominee Elizabeth Kirtley faces structural headwinds in a race rated solidly Republican by nonpartisan analysts, with limited polling shifts observed through early August. Trader consensus around 93% Republican odds aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a national Democratic surge, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$61,867结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Michael Rulli holds a commanding position in Ohio's 6th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's established Republican lean and his 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points. The district, spanning Appalachian Ohio and the Mahoning Valley, favors GOP candidates in recent cycles, and Rulli advanced through the May primary without significant opposition. Democratic nominee Elizabeth Kirtley faces structural headwinds in a race rated solidly Republican by nonpartisan analysts, with limited polling shifts observed through early August. Trader consensus around 93% Republican odds aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a national Democratic surge, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin in the final months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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