Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 76 percent of the vote against a single challenger, positioning him for the November general election against Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in Ohio’s 6th district. The seat carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and covers rural Appalachian counties plus areas around Youngstown and Steubenville, producing consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Rulli’s 2024 special-election win and the district’s structural advantages have anchored trader consensus near 92 percent for the Republican nominee. Limited Democratic primary turnout and modest fundraising further reinforce the outlook. A late-breaking scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic midterm performance could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require departures from established voting patterns in this solidly Republican territory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,964 交易量
$22,964 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
$22,964 交易量
$22,964 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$11,939 交易量
92%
民主党
$11,025 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 76 percent of the vote against a single challenger, positioning him for the November general election against Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in Ohio’s 6th district. The seat carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and covers rural Appalachian counties plus areas around Youngstown and Steubenville, producing consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Rulli’s 2024 special-election win and the district’s structural advantages have anchored trader consensus near 92 percent for the Republican nominee. Limited Democratic primary turnout and modest fundraising further reinforce the outlook. A late-breaking scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic midterm performance could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require departures from established voting patterns in this solidly Republican territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$22,964结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 76 percent of the vote against a single challenger, positioning him for the November general election against Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in Ohio’s 6th district. The seat carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and covers rural Appalachian counties plus areas around Youngstown and Steubenville, producing consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Rulli’s 2024 special-election win and the district’s structural advantages have anchored trader consensus near 92 percent for the Republican nominee. Limited Democratic primary turnout and modest fundraising further reinforce the outlook. A late-breaking scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic midterm performance could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require departures from established voting patterns in this solidly Republican territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,964结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 76 percent of the vote against a single challenger, positioning him for the November general election against Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in Ohio’s 6th district. The seat carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and covers rural Appalachian counties plus areas around Youngstown and Steubenville, producing consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Rulli’s 2024 special-election win and the district’s structural advantages have anchored trader consensus near 92 percent for the Republican nominee. Limited Democratic primary turnout and modest fundraising further reinforce the outlook. A late-breaking scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic midterm performance could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require departures from established voting patterns in this solidly Republican territory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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