Texas's 21st congressional district maintains a consistent Republican advantage rooted in its partisan voting index and voting patterns, including strong support for the party's presidential nominee in 2024. The open seat following Chip Roy's retirement has not altered this positioning, as Mark Teixeira secured the Republican nomination in the March primary with broad backing. Kristin Hook emerged as the Democratic nominee in the same cycle, yet the district's exurban and Hill Country composition continues to limit crossover potential. Traders price in these structural factors alongside the absence of competitive polling shifts or external events capable of narrowing the gap ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$35,580 交易量
$35,580 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
81%
民主党
16%
$35,580 交易量
$35,580 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$19,649 交易量
81%
民主党
$15,931 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 21st congressional district maintains a consistent Republican advantage rooted in its partisan voting index and voting patterns, including strong support for the party's presidential nominee in 2024. The open seat following Chip Roy's retirement has not altered this positioning, as Mark Teixeira secured the Republican nomination in the March primary with broad backing. Kristin Hook emerged as the Democratic nominee in the same cycle, yet the district's exurban and Hill Country composition continues to limit crossover potential. Traders price in these structural factors alongside the absence of competitive polling shifts or external events capable of narrowing the gap ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$35,580结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 21st congressional district maintains a consistent Republican advantage rooted in its partisan voting index and voting patterns, including strong support for the party's presidential nominee in 2024. The open seat following Chip Roy's retirement has not altered this positioning, as Mark Teixeira secured the Republican nomination in the March primary with broad backing. Kristin Hook emerged as the Democratic nominee in the same cycle, yet the district's exurban and Hill Country composition continues to limit crossover potential. Traders price in these structural factors alongside the absence of competitive polling shifts or external events capable of narrowing the gap ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$35,580结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 21st congressional district maintains a consistent Republican advantage rooted in its partisan voting index and voting patterns, including strong support for the party's presidential nominee in 2024. The open seat following Chip Roy's retirement has not altered this positioning, as Mark Teixeira secured the Republican nomination in the March primary with broad backing. Kristin Hook emerged as the Democratic nominee in the same cycle, yet the district's exurban and Hill Country composition continues to limit crossover potential. Traders price in these structural factors alongside the absence of competitive polling shifts or external events capable of narrowing the gap ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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