Texas's 21st congressional district has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, with Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024 and the seat held by the GOP since 1978. The open contest following Chip Roy's decision to pursue higher office produced Republican nominee Mark Teixeira and Democratic nominee Kristin Hook after March 2026 primaries. Trader consensus reflected in the 86.5% Republican price aligns with the district's exurban and Hill Country composition, historical margins, and absence of major late-campaign developments that would alter the baseline partisan tilt. No scheduled events or polling shifts in the final months before November have narrowed the gap enough to challenge the implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$57,572 交易量
$57,572 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
87%
民主党
13%
$57,572 交易量
$57,572 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$31,166 交易量
87%
民主党
$26,406 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 21st congressional district has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, with Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024 and the seat held by the GOP since 1978. The open contest following Chip Roy's decision to pursue higher office produced Republican nominee Mark Teixeira and Democratic nominee Kristin Hook after March 2026 primaries. Trader consensus reflected in the 86.5% Republican price aligns with the district's exurban and Hill Country composition, historical margins, and absence of major late-campaign developments that would alter the baseline partisan tilt. No scheduled events or polling shifts in the final months before November have narrowed the gap enough to challenge the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$57,572结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 21st congressional district has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, with Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024 and the seat held by the GOP since 1978. The open contest following Chip Roy's decision to pursue higher office produced Republican nominee Mark Teixeira and Democratic nominee Kristin Hook after March 2026 primaries. Trader consensus reflected in the 86.5% Republican price aligns with the district's exurban and Hill Country composition, historical margins, and absence of major late-campaign developments that would alter the baseline partisan tilt. No scheduled events or polling shifts in the final months before November have narrowed the gap enough to challenge the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$57,572结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 21st congressional district has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, with Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024 and the seat held by the GOP since 1978. The open contest following Chip Roy's decision to pursue higher office produced Republican nominee Mark Teixeira and Democratic nominee Kristin Hook after March 2026 primaries. Trader consensus reflected in the 86.5% Republican price aligns with the district's exurban and Hill Country composition, historical margins, and absence of major late-campaign developments that would alter the baseline partisan tilt. No scheduled events or polling shifts in the final months before November have narrowed the gap enough to challenge the implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题