Texas' 21st congressional district remains a Republican stronghold, with the party holding the seat since 1978 and Donald Trump carrying it by roughly 20 points in 2024. Incumbent Chip Roy's retirement to pursue the Texas attorney general nomination opened the race, but Republican nominee Mark Teixeira secured the primary nomination decisively in March 2026 while Democrat Kristin Hook advanced on her side. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, combined with limited Democratic infrastructure or polling momentum in this exurban and Hill Country area, underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in the November general election. No late-cycle developments have emerged to alter the structural advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$57,572 交易量
$57,572 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
87%
民主党
13%
$57,572 交易量
$57,572 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$31,166 交易量
87%
民主党
$26,406 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 21st congressional district remains a Republican stronghold, with the party holding the seat since 1978 and Donald Trump carrying it by roughly 20 points in 2024. Incumbent Chip Roy's retirement to pursue the Texas attorney general nomination opened the race, but Republican nominee Mark Teixeira secured the primary nomination decisively in March 2026 while Democrat Kristin Hook advanced on her side. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, combined with limited Democratic infrastructure or polling momentum in this exurban and Hill Country area, underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in the November general election. No late-cycle developments have emerged to alter the structural advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$57,572结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 21st congressional district remains a Republican stronghold, with the party holding the seat since 1978 and Donald Trump carrying it by roughly 20 points in 2024. Incumbent Chip Roy's retirement to pursue the Texas attorney general nomination opened the race, but Republican nominee Mark Teixeira secured the primary nomination decisively in March 2026 while Democrat Kristin Hook advanced on her side. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, combined with limited Democratic infrastructure or polling momentum in this exurban and Hill Country area, underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in the November general election. No late-cycle developments have emerged to alter the structural advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$57,572结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas' 21st congressional district remains a Republican stronghold, with the party holding the seat since 1978 and Donald Trump carrying it by roughly 20 points in 2024. Incumbent Chip Roy's retirement to pursue the Texas attorney general nomination opened the race, but Republican nominee Mark Teixeira secured the primary nomination decisively in March 2026 while Democrat Kristin Hook advanced on her side. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, combined with limited Democratic infrastructure or polling momentum in this exurban and Hill Country area, underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in the November general election. No late-cycle developments have emerged to alter the structural advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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