The TX-22 district’s established Republican lean, shown by Donald Trump’s 59.9% share in 2024, drives trader consensus toward the Republican nominee. Incumbent Troy Nehls’s retirement created an open seat, yet his brother Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination in the March primary without a runoff. Marquette Greene-Scott won the Democratic primary, but the district’s partisan voting index and suburban Houston demographics limit Democratic prospects. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race solid or safe Republican, with no major polling shifts or events since the May runoffs altering the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
88%
民主党
13%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$1,280 交易量
88%
民主党
$2,092 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-22 district’s established Republican lean, shown by Donald Trump’s 59.9% share in 2024, drives trader consensus toward the Republican nominee. Incumbent Troy Nehls’s retirement created an open seat, yet his brother Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination in the March primary without a runoff. Marquette Greene-Scott won the Democratic primary, but the district’s partisan voting index and suburban Houston demographics limit Democratic prospects. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race solid or safe Republican, with no major polling shifts or events since the May runoffs altering the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$3,373结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-22 district’s established Republican lean, shown by Donald Trump’s 59.9% share in 2024, drives trader consensus toward the Republican nominee. Incumbent Troy Nehls’s retirement created an open seat, yet his brother Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination in the March primary without a runoff. Marquette Greene-Scott won the Democratic primary, but the district’s partisan voting index and suburban Houston demographics limit Democratic prospects. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race solid or safe Republican, with no major polling shifts or events since the May runoffs altering the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,373结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The TX-22 district’s established Republican lean, shown by Donald Trump’s 59.9% share in 2024, drives trader consensus toward the Republican nominee. Incumbent Troy Nehls’s retirement created an open seat, yet his brother Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination in the March primary without a runoff. Marquette Greene-Scott won the Democratic primary, but the district’s partisan voting index and suburban Houston demographics limit Democratic prospects. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race solid or safe Republican, with no major polling shifts or events since the May runoffs altering the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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