Trever Nehls holds a commanding lead in the Texas 22nd congressional district race because the open seat sits in a solidly Republican area with an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, where Donald Trump carried 59.9 percent in 2024. Nehls won the March Republican primary by a wide margin after securing endorsements from President Trump, Senator Ted Cruz, and his retiring twin brother, former Representative Troy Nehls. As a retired Army colonel and former Fort Bend County constable, he emphasizes border security, energy production, and infrastructure priorities that align with the district’s suburban Houston electorate across Fort Bend, Harris, and Brazoria counties. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott, a local city council member who won her primary, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though none have emerged near the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,537 交易量
$26,537 交易量
特雷弗·内尔斯(共和党)
93%
马凯特·格林-斯科特(民主党)
8%
$26,537 交易量
$26,537 交易量
特雷弗·内尔斯(共和党)
93%
马凯特·格林-斯科特(民主党)
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Trever Nehls holds a commanding lead in the Texas 22nd congressional district race because the open seat sits in a solidly Republican area with an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, where Donald Trump carried 59.9 percent in 2024. Nehls won the March Republican primary by a wide margin after securing endorsements from President Trump, Senator Ted Cruz, and his retiring twin brother, former Representative Troy Nehls. As a retired Army colonel and former Fort Bend County constable, he emphasizes border security, energy production, and infrastructure priorities that align with the district’s suburban Houston electorate across Fort Bend, Harris, and Brazoria counties. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott, a local city council member who won her primary, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though none have emerged near the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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