Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, following Republican incumbent Joni Ernst's retirement, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democrat Josh Turek in the November 2026 general election. Hinson secured her party's nomination with strong backing from President Trump and Ernst, plus a fundraising lead exceeding $6.7 million by late June, aligning with the state's consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles. Turek, a state representative and Paralympic medalist, won his primary and benefits from Democratic emphasis on his profile to contest the race. Recent polling shows a narrow contest, with Hinson ahead by 2–3 points in most August surveys and mixed earlier results within margins of error. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the state's electoral history, structural advantages for Republicans, and the closely contested nature of the matchup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$176,168 交易量
$176,168 交易量
2026-11-03
阿什莉·欣森（共和党）
56%
乔什·图雷克（民主党）
44%
$176,168 交易量
$176,168 交易量
2026-11-03
阿什莉·欣森（共和党）
$86,983 交易量
56%
乔什·图雷克（民主党）
$89,185 交易量
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, following Republican incumbent Joni Ernst's retirement, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democrat Josh Turek in the November 2026 general election. Hinson secured her party's nomination with strong backing from President Trump and Ernst, plus a fundraising lead exceeding $6.7 million by late June, aligning with the state's consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles. Turek, a state representative and Paralympic medalist, won his primary and benefits from Democratic emphasis on his profile to contest the race. Recent polling shows a narrow contest, with Hinson ahead by 2–3 points in most August surveys and mixed earlier results within margins of error. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the state's electoral history, structural advantages for Republicans, and the closely contested nature of the matchup.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
交易量
$176,168结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, following Republican incumbent Joni Ernst's retirement, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democrat Josh Turek in the November 2026 general election. Hinson secured her party's nomination with strong backing from President Trump and Ernst, plus a fundraising lead exceeding $6.7 million by late June, aligning with the state's consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles. Turek, a state representative and Paralympic medalist, won his primary and benefits from Democratic emphasis on his profile to contest the race. Recent polling shows a narrow contest, with Hinson ahead by 2–3 points in most August surveys and mixed earlier results within margins of error. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the state's electoral history, structural advantages for Republicans, and the closely contested nature of the matchup.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$176,168结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, following Republican incumbent Joni Ernst's retirement, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democrat Josh Turek in the November 2026 general election. Hinson secured her party's nomination with strong backing from President Trump and Ernst, plus a fundraising lead exceeding $6.7 million by late June, aligning with the state's consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles. Turek, a state representative and Paralympic medalist, won his primary and benefits from Democratic emphasis on his profile to contest the race. Recent polling shows a narrow contest, with Hinson ahead by 2–3 points in most August surveys and mixed earlier results within margins of error. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the state's electoral history, structural advantages for Republicans, and the closely contested nature of the matchup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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