Iowa's Republican lean and the open Senate seat left by retiring incumbent Joni Ernst position the GOP nominee for a structural advantage in the November 2026 general election. Ashley Hinson secured the Republican nomination on June 2 with roughly 74 percent of the primary vote after receiving an endorsement from President Trump, while Democrat Josh Turek advanced with about 63 percent following a competitive primary centered on general-election viability. A post-primary poll showing a 46-46 tie highlights Turek's biographical appeal and rural outreach as factors sustaining Democratic competitiveness near 40 percent. Traders' consensus aligns with the state's partisan voting patterns and historical results in similar open-seat contests, though outcomes remain sensitive to turnout and national conditions through Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$121,985 交易量
$121,985 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
60%
民主党
41%
$121,985 交易量
$121,985 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$56,803 交易量
60%
民主党
$65,183 交易量
41%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's Republican lean and the open Senate seat left by retiring incumbent Joni Ernst position the GOP nominee for a structural advantage in the November 2026 general election. Ashley Hinson secured the Republican nomination on June 2 with roughly 74 percent of the primary vote after receiving an endorsement from President Trump, while Democrat Josh Turek advanced with about 63 percent following a competitive primary centered on general-election viability. A post-primary poll showing a 46-46 tie highlights Turek's biographical appeal and rural outreach as factors sustaining Democratic competitiveness near 40 percent. Traders' consensus aligns with the state's partisan voting patterns and historical results in similar open-seat contests, though outcomes remain sensitive to turnout and national conditions through Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
交易量
$121,985结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's Republican lean and the open Senate seat left by retiring incumbent Joni Ernst position the GOP nominee for a structural advantage in the November 2026 general election. Ashley Hinson secured the Republican nomination on June 2 with roughly 74 percent of the primary vote after receiving an endorsement from President Trump, while Democrat Josh Turek advanced with about 63 percent following a competitive primary centered on general-election viability. A post-primary poll showing a 46-46 tie highlights Turek's biographical appeal and rural outreach as factors sustaining Democratic competitiveness near 40 percent. Traders' consensus aligns with the state's partisan voting patterns and historical results in similar open-seat contests, though outcomes remain sensitive to turnout and national conditions through Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$121,985结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's Republican lean and the open Senate seat left by retiring incumbent Joni Ernst position the GOP nominee for a structural advantage in the November 2026 general election. Ashley Hinson secured the Republican nomination on June 2 with roughly 74 percent of the primary vote after receiving an endorsement from President Trump, while Democrat Josh Turek advanced with about 63 percent following a competitive primary centered on general-election viability. A post-primary poll showing a 46-46 tie highlights Turek's biographical appeal and rural outreach as factors sustaining Democratic competitiveness near 40 percent. Traders' consensus aligns with the state's partisan voting patterns and historical results in similar open-seat contests, though outcomes remain sensitive to turnout and national conditions through Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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