The open U.S. Senate seat in Iowa, following incumbent Joni Ernst’s retirement, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson, a sitting U.S. Representative who secured her party’s nomination by a wide margin on June 2, against Democratic nominee Josh Turek, a state representative who prevailed in his primary. Iowa’s consistent Republican tilt in recent federal elections, including strong GOP performance in the 2024 presidential contest, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. A post-primary Public Policy Polling survey conducted June 3-4 showed a statistical tie, while earlier general-election matchups remained close, highlighting the race’s competitiveness despite the state’s partisan lean. No major developments have shifted positioning since the primaries concluded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$121,985 交易量
$121,985 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
60%
民主党
41%
$121,985 交易量
$121,985 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$56,803 交易量
60%
民主党
$65,183 交易量
41%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open U.S. Senate seat in Iowa, following incumbent Joni Ernst’s retirement, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson, a sitting U.S. Representative who secured her party’s nomination by a wide margin on June 2, against Democratic nominee Josh Turek, a state representative who prevailed in his primary. Iowa’s consistent Republican tilt in recent federal elections, including strong GOP performance in the 2024 presidential contest, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. A post-primary Public Policy Polling survey conducted June 3-4 showed a statistical tie, while earlier general-election matchups remained close, highlighting the race’s competitiveness despite the state’s partisan lean. No major developments have shifted positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
交易量
$121,985结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open U.S. Senate seat in Iowa, following incumbent Joni Ernst’s retirement, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson, a sitting U.S. Representative who secured her party’s nomination by a wide margin on June 2, against Democratic nominee Josh Turek, a state representative who prevailed in his primary. Iowa’s consistent Republican tilt in recent federal elections, including strong GOP performance in the 2024 presidential contest, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. A post-primary Public Policy Polling survey conducted June 3-4 showed a statistical tie, while earlier general-election matchups remained close, highlighting the race’s competitiveness despite the state’s partisan lean. No major developments have shifted positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$121,985结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open U.S. Senate seat in Iowa, following incumbent Joni Ernst’s retirement, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson, a sitting U.S. Representative who secured her party’s nomination by a wide margin on June 2, against Democratic nominee Josh Turek, a state representative who prevailed in his primary. Iowa’s consistent Republican tilt in recent federal elections, including strong GOP performance in the 2024 presidential contest, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. A post-primary Public Policy Polling survey conducted June 3-4 showed a statistical tie, while earlier general-election matchups remained close, highlighting the race’s competitiveness despite the state’s partisan lean. No major developments have shifted positioning since the primaries concluded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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