Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with more than 93 percent of the vote against a single challenger, positioning him strongly for the November general election in a state with consistent Democratic advantages in recent federal contests. Oregon's electoral environment, shaped by urban population centers and historical voting patterns favoring Democratic candidates by double-digit margins, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the dominant probability for a Democratic outcome. The Republican primary featured a fragmented field of seven candidates, limiting unified opposition ahead of the general election matchup. While the race remains subject to broader national political shifts or unforeseen developments in the coming months, Merkley's long tenure since 2008 and the state's structural dynamics sustain the high implied probability for the Democratic nominee to prevail.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,997 交易量
94%
共和党
$1,177 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with more than 93 percent of the vote against a single challenger, positioning him strongly for the November general election in a state with consistent Democratic advantages in recent federal contests. Oregon's electoral environment, shaped by urban population centers and historical voting patterns favoring Democratic candidates by double-digit margins, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the dominant probability for a Democratic outcome. The Republican primary featured a fragmented field of seven candidates, limiting unified opposition ahead of the general election matchup. While the race remains subject to broader national political shifts or unforeseen developments in the coming months, Merkley's long tenure since 2008 and the state's structural dynamics sustain the high implied probability for the Democratic nominee to prevail.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$4,174结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with more than 93 percent of the vote against a single challenger, positioning him strongly for the November general election in a state with consistent Democratic advantages in recent federal contests. Oregon's electoral environment, shaped by urban population centers and historical voting patterns favoring Democratic candidates by double-digit margins, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the dominant probability for a Democratic outcome. The Republican primary featured a fragmented field of seven candidates, limiting unified opposition ahead of the general election matchup. While the race remains subject to broader national political shifts or unforeseen developments in the coming months, Merkley's long tenure since 2008 and the state's structural dynamics sustain the high implied probability for the Democratic nominee to prevail.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$4,174结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with more than 93 percent of the vote against a single challenger, positioning him strongly for the November general election in a state with consistent Democratic advantages in recent federal contests. Oregon's electoral environment, shaped by urban population centers and historical voting patterns favoring Democratic candidates by double-digit margins, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the dominant probability for a Democratic outcome. The Republican primary featured a fragmented field of seven candidates, limiting unified opposition ahead of the general election matchup. While the race remains subject to broader national political shifts or unforeseen developments in the coming months, Merkley's long tenure since 2008 and the state's structural dynamics sustain the high implied probability for the Democratic nominee to prevail.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题