Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination with over 93 percent in the May 19 primary, facing only token opposition in a state that has consistently favored Democrats in recent federal contests. Oregon's partisan voting index and historical election margins reflect a durable structural advantage for Democratic candidates, reinforced by Merkley's long tenure and fundraising edge. Republican primary voters selected a nominee from a crowded but limited field, leaving the general election matchup with few competitive indicators. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic outcome a 93.5 percent implied probability. Late developments capable of narrowing that gap would require an unforeseen shift such as a major candidate health event, ethics issue, or national political realignment that overrides the state's baseline electoral patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,028 交易量
93%
共和党
$1,177 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination with over 93 percent in the May 19 primary, facing only token opposition in a state that has consistently favored Democrats in recent federal contests. Oregon's partisan voting index and historical election margins reflect a durable structural advantage for Democratic candidates, reinforced by Merkley's long tenure and fundraising edge. Republican primary voters selected a nominee from a crowded but limited field, leaving the general election matchup with few competitive indicators. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic outcome a 93.5 percent implied probability. Late developments capable of narrowing that gap would require an unforeseen shift such as a major candidate health event, ethics issue, or national political realignment that overrides the state's baseline electoral patterns.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$4,205结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination with over 93 percent in the May 19 primary, facing only token opposition in a state that has consistently favored Democrats in recent federal contests. Oregon's partisan voting index and historical election margins reflect a durable structural advantage for Democratic candidates, reinforced by Merkley's long tenure and fundraising edge. Republican primary voters selected a nominee from a crowded but limited field, leaving the general election matchup with few competitive indicators. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic outcome a 93.5 percent implied probability. Late developments capable of narrowing that gap would require an unforeseen shift such as a major candidate health event, ethics issue, or national political realignment that overrides the state's baseline electoral patterns.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$4,205结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination with over 93 percent in the May 19 primary, facing only token opposition in a state that has consistently favored Democrats in recent federal contests. Oregon's partisan voting index and historical election margins reflect a durable structural advantage for Democratic candidates, reinforced by Merkley's long tenure and fundraising edge. Republican primary voters selected a nominee from a crowded but limited field, leaving the general election matchup with few competitive indicators. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic outcome a 93.5 percent implied probability. Late developments capable of narrowing that gap would require an unforeseen shift such as a major candidate health event, ethics issue, or national political realignment that overrides the state's baseline electoral patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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