Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured his party’s nomination with over 93 percent in the May 19 primary and now faces Republican state Sen. David Brock Smith in the November 3 general election. Oregon’s consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by recent presidential results and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by double digits, underpins the 93 percent trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Merkley’s established record, substantial fundraising edge, and the state’s lack of a Republican Senate victory since 2002 reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, unexpected health development, or significant national political shift before Election Day remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,065 交易量
93%
共和党
$1,177 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured his party’s nomination with over 93 percent in the May 19 primary and now faces Republican state Sen. David Brock Smith in the November 3 general election. Oregon’s consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by recent presidential results and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by double digits, underpins the 93 percent trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Merkley’s established record, substantial fundraising edge, and the state’s lack of a Republican Senate victory since 2002 reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, unexpected health development, or significant national political shift before Election Day remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$4,242结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured his party’s nomination with over 93 percent in the May 19 primary and now faces Republican state Sen. David Brock Smith in the November 3 general election. Oregon’s consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by recent presidential results and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by double digits, underpins the 93 percent trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Merkley’s established record, substantial fundraising edge, and the state’s lack of a Republican Senate victory since 2002 reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, unexpected health development, or significant national political shift before Election Day remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$4,242结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured his party’s nomination with over 93 percent in the May 19 primary and now faces Republican state Sen. David Brock Smith in the November 3 general election. Oregon’s consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by recent presidential results and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by double digits, underpins the 93 percent trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Merkley’s established record, substantial fundraising edge, and the state’s lack of a Republican Senate victory since 2002 reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, unexpected health development, or significant national political shift before Election Day remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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