Oklahoma’s 2026 U.S. Senate race features an open seat previously held by Republicans for decades, with the state’s consistent partisan lean and voting patterns producing strong trader consensus behind the eventual GOP nominee. Recent polling and race ratings classify the contest as solidly or safely Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, a crowded field of five primary candidates, and no evident path to competitiveness in the general election. Kevin Hern leads the Republican primary, which concludes today alongside the Democratic contest, positioning the winner to benefit from incumbency-style advantages and turnout advantages in a low-turnout midterm environment. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unforeseen national Democratic surge, a major scandal or primary runoff complication for the Republican nominee, or unusually high crossover voting, though historical election data and current polling averages indicate these outcomes remain low-probability events.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,947 交易量
$16,947 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
$16,947 交易量
$16,947 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$10,958 交易量
92%
民主党
$5,988 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma’s 2026 U.S. Senate race features an open seat previously held by Republicans for decades, with the state’s consistent partisan lean and voting patterns producing strong trader consensus behind the eventual GOP nominee. Recent polling and race ratings classify the contest as solidly or safely Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, a crowded field of five primary candidates, and no evident path to competitiveness in the general election. Kevin Hern leads the Republican primary, which concludes today alongside the Democratic contest, positioning the winner to benefit from incumbency-style advantages and turnout advantages in a low-turnout midterm environment. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unforeseen national Democratic surge, a major scandal or primary runoff complication for the Republican nominee, or unusually high crossover voting, though historical election data and current polling averages indicate these outcomes remain low-probability events.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$16,947结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma’s 2026 U.S. Senate race features an open seat previously held by Republicans for decades, with the state’s consistent partisan lean and voting patterns producing strong trader consensus behind the eventual GOP nominee. Recent polling and race ratings classify the contest as solidly or safely Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, a crowded field of five primary candidates, and no evident path to competitiveness in the general election. Kevin Hern leads the Republican primary, which concludes today alongside the Democratic contest, positioning the winner to benefit from incumbency-style advantages and turnout advantages in a low-turnout midterm environment. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unforeseen national Democratic surge, a major scandal or primary runoff complication for the Republican nominee, or unusually high crossover voting, though historical election data and current polling averages indicate these outcomes remain low-probability events.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$16,947结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s 2026 U.S. Senate race features an open seat previously held by Republicans for decades, with the state’s consistent partisan lean and voting patterns producing strong trader consensus behind the eventual GOP nominee. Recent polling and race ratings classify the contest as solidly or safely Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, a crowded field of five primary candidates, and no evident path to competitiveness in the general election. Kevin Hern leads the Republican primary, which concludes today alongside the Democratic contest, positioning the winner to benefit from incumbency-style advantages and turnout advantages in a low-turnout midterm environment. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unforeseen national Democratic surge, a major scandal or primary runoff complication for the Republican nominee, or unusually high crossover voting, though historical election data and current polling averages indicate these outcomes remain low-probability events.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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