Oklahoma’s solidly Republican political environment, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent support for GOP Senate candidates, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. The seat became open after incumbent Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 to join the Trump administration, prompting the appointment of Alan Armstrong as interim senator. With primaries scheduled for June 16, Republican contenders including Kevin Hern lead early polling, while Democratic candidates compete in a crowded field. This structure, combined with historical election patterns in the state, sustains the wide gap in implied probabilities, though outcomes could shift if primary results produce an unexpectedly weak nominee or if turnout dynamics in the general election deviate from recent precedents.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,591 交易量
$14,591 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$14,591 交易量
$14,591 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,923 交易量
93%
民主党
$5,669 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma’s solidly Republican political environment, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent support for GOP Senate candidates, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. The seat became open after incumbent Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 to join the Trump administration, prompting the appointment of Alan Armstrong as interim senator. With primaries scheduled for June 16, Republican contenders including Kevin Hern lead early polling, while Democratic candidates compete in a crowded field. This structure, combined with historical election patterns in the state, sustains the wide gap in implied probabilities, though outcomes could shift if primary results produce an unexpectedly weak nominee or if turnout dynamics in the general election deviate from recent precedents.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$14,591结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma’s solidly Republican political environment, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent support for GOP Senate candidates, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. The seat became open after incumbent Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 to join the Trump administration, prompting the appointment of Alan Armstrong as interim senator. With primaries scheduled for June 16, Republican contenders including Kevin Hern lead early polling, while Democratic candidates compete in a crowded field. This structure, combined with historical election patterns in the state, sustains the wide gap in implied probabilities, though outcomes could shift if primary results produce an unexpectedly weak nominee or if turnout dynamics in the general election deviate from recent precedents.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$14,591结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s solidly Republican political environment, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent support for GOP Senate candidates, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. The seat became open after incumbent Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 to join the Trump administration, prompting the appointment of Alan Armstrong as interim senator. With primaries scheduled for June 16, Republican contenders including Kevin Hern lead early polling, while Democratic candidates compete in a crowded field. This structure, combined with historical election patterns in the state, sustains the wide gap in implied probabilities, though outcomes could shift if primary results produce an unexpectedly weak nominee or if turnout dynamics in the general election deviate from recent precedents.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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