Oklahoma's strong Republican tilt and the June primary results have solidified trader consensus around a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Kevin Hern secured the GOP nomination against several challengers, positioning a sitting congressman with established name recognition against Democratic contenders heading to an August runoff. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since 1990, reflecting consistent voter patterns in general elections. With the seat open following the prior incumbent's resignation and appointment of an ineligible interim holder, these structural factors reinforce the current 94 percent implied probability. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the nominee, or sharp national political realignment could still narrow the gap before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,205 交易量
$18,205 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
4%
$18,205 交易量
$18,205 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$11,624 交易量
94%
民主党
$6,582 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's strong Republican tilt and the June primary results have solidified trader consensus around a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Kevin Hern secured the GOP nomination against several challengers, positioning a sitting congressman with established name recognition against Democratic contenders heading to an August runoff. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since 1990, reflecting consistent voter patterns in general elections. With the seat open following the prior incumbent's resignation and appointment of an ineligible interim holder, these structural factors reinforce the current 94 percent implied probability. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the nominee, or sharp national political realignment could still narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$18,205结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's strong Republican tilt and the June primary results have solidified trader consensus around a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Kevin Hern secured the GOP nomination against several challengers, positioning a sitting congressman with established name recognition against Democratic contenders heading to an August runoff. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since 1990, reflecting consistent voter patterns in general elections. With the seat open following the prior incumbent's resignation and appointment of an ineligible interim holder, these structural factors reinforce the current 94 percent implied probability. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the nominee, or sharp national political realignment could still narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$18,205结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's strong Republican tilt and the June primary results have solidified trader consensus around a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Kevin Hern secured the GOP nomination against several challengers, positioning a sitting congressman with established name recognition against Democratic contenders heading to an August runoff. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since 1990, reflecting consistent voter patterns in general elections. With the seat open following the prior incumbent's resignation and appointment of an ineligible interim holder, these structural factors reinforce the current 94 percent implied probability. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the nominee, or sharp national political realignment could still narrow the gap before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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