Oklahoma's strong Republican tilt in federal contests, reinforced by consistent voter registration advantages and turnout patterns favoring GOP candidates, drives the market's heavy preference for a Republican winner in the 2026 Senate race. The seat opened after Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration, followed by Alan Armstrong's interim appointment under an agreement barring a full-term bid. With primaries scheduled for June 16, polling shows U.S. Representative Kevin Hern leading a crowded Republican field, while Democratic contenders remain less prominent. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican, reflecting structural barriers for Democrats despite the open-seat dynamics. Trader consensus aligns with these factors, though the general election outcome hinges on nominee selection and any late shifts in national conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,947 交易量
$16,947 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
$16,947 交易量
$16,947 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$10,958 交易量
92%
民主党
$5,988 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's strong Republican tilt in federal contests, reinforced by consistent voter registration advantages and turnout patterns favoring GOP candidates, drives the market's heavy preference for a Republican winner in the 2026 Senate race. The seat opened after Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration, followed by Alan Armstrong's interim appointment under an agreement barring a full-term bid. With primaries scheduled for June 16, polling shows U.S. Representative Kevin Hern leading a crowded Republican field, while Democratic contenders remain less prominent. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican, reflecting structural barriers for Democrats despite the open-seat dynamics. Trader consensus aligns with these factors, though the general election outcome hinges on nominee selection and any late shifts in national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$16,947结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's strong Republican tilt in federal contests, reinforced by consistent voter registration advantages and turnout patterns favoring GOP candidates, drives the market's heavy preference for a Republican winner in the 2026 Senate race. The seat opened after Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration, followed by Alan Armstrong's interim appointment under an agreement barring a full-term bid. With primaries scheduled for June 16, polling shows U.S. Representative Kevin Hern leading a crowded Republican field, while Democratic contenders remain less prominent. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican, reflecting structural barriers for Democrats despite the open-seat dynamics. Trader consensus aligns with these factors, though the general election outcome hinges on nominee selection and any late shifts in national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$16,947结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's strong Republican tilt in federal contests, reinforced by consistent voter registration advantages and turnout patterns favoring GOP candidates, drives the market's heavy preference for a Republican winner in the 2026 Senate race. The seat opened after Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration, followed by Alan Armstrong's interim appointment under an agreement barring a full-term bid. With primaries scheduled for June 16, polling shows U.S. Representative Kevin Hern leading a crowded Republican field, while Democratic contenders remain less prominent. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican, reflecting structural barriers for Democrats despite the open-seat dynamics. Trader consensus aligns with these factors, though the general election outcome hinges on nominee selection and any late shifts in national conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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