Oklahoma's entrenched Republican electoral advantage, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1990 and consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide races, underpins the 92% Republican outcome in trader pricing. The open seat, following Markwayne Mullin's departure, features a June 16 Republican primary where Kevin Hern holds a clear lead in recent polling, while the Democratic field of five candidates remains fragmented ahead of its simultaneous primary. Cook Political Report and similar assessments rate the contest Solid Republican, reflecting limited swing-state dynamics or turnout shifts that could narrow the gap. Late developments such as a primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee or an unforeseen national wave would be required to meaningfully alter the implied probability before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,591 交易量
$14,591 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
$14,591 交易量
$14,591 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,923 交易量
92%
民主党
$5,669 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's entrenched Republican electoral advantage, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1990 and consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide races, underpins the 92% Republican outcome in trader pricing. The open seat, following Markwayne Mullin's departure, features a June 16 Republican primary where Kevin Hern holds a clear lead in recent polling, while the Democratic field of five candidates remains fragmented ahead of its simultaneous primary. Cook Political Report and similar assessments rate the contest Solid Republican, reflecting limited swing-state dynamics or turnout shifts that could narrow the gap. Late developments such as a primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee or an unforeseen national wave would be required to meaningfully alter the implied probability before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$14,591结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's entrenched Republican electoral advantage, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1990 and consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide races, underpins the 92% Republican outcome in trader pricing. The open seat, following Markwayne Mullin's departure, features a June 16 Republican primary where Kevin Hern holds a clear lead in recent polling, while the Democratic field of five candidates remains fragmented ahead of its simultaneous primary. Cook Political Report and similar assessments rate the contest Solid Republican, reflecting limited swing-state dynamics or turnout shifts that could narrow the gap. Late developments such as a primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee or an unforeseen national wave would be required to meaningfully alter the implied probability before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$14,591结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's entrenched Republican electoral advantage, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1990 and consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide races, underpins the 92% Republican outcome in trader pricing. The open seat, following Markwayne Mullin's departure, features a June 16 Republican primary where Kevin Hern holds a clear lead in recent polling, while the Democratic field of five candidates remains fragmented ahead of its simultaneous primary. Cook Political Report and similar assessments rate the contest Solid Republican, reflecting limited swing-state dynamics or turnout shifts that could narrow the gap. Late developments such as a primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee or an unforeseen national wave would be required to meaningfully alter the implied probability before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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