Kevin Hern’s dominant position in the Oklahoma Senate race stems from the state’s consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests and his clear path as the party nominee following a June primary victory backed by President Trump. The open seat, created by Markwayne Mullin’s departure for a Cabinet role, drew limited Democratic investment, while Hern’s congressional record, name recognition in the Tulsa area, and fundraising edge have consolidated support. Thomas secured the Democratic nomination in an August runoff but faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans have held the Senate seat for decades. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or shifts in national conditions could still alter the trajectory before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于俄克拉荷马州参议院选举获胜者
俄克拉荷马州参议院选举获胜者
$21,253 交易量
$21,253 交易量
2026-11-02
凯文·赫恩（共和党）
96%
恩基拉“贾思敏”托马斯（民主党）
4%
$21,253 交易量
$21,253 交易量
2026-11-02
凯文·赫恩（共和党）
$14,672 交易量
96%
恩基拉“贾思敏”托马斯（民主党）
$6,582 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kevin Hern’s dominant position in the Oklahoma Senate race stems from the state’s consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests and his clear path as the party nominee following a June primary victory backed by President Trump. The open seat, created by Markwayne Mullin’s departure for a Cabinet role, drew limited Democratic investment, while Hern’s congressional record, name recognition in the Tulsa area, and fundraising edge have consolidated support. Thomas secured the Democratic nomination in an August runoff but faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans have held the Senate seat for decades. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or shifts in national conditions could still alter the trajectory before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$21,253结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kevin Hern’s dominant position in the Oklahoma Senate race stems from the state’s consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests and his clear path as the party nominee following a June primary victory backed by President Trump. The open seat, created by Markwayne Mullin’s departure for a Cabinet role, drew limited Democratic investment, while Hern’s congressional record, name recognition in the Tulsa area, and fundraising edge have consolidated support. Thomas secured the Democratic nomination in an August runoff but faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans have held the Senate seat for decades. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or shifts in national conditions could still alter the trajectory before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$21,253结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETKevin Hern’s dominant position in the Oklahoma Senate race stems from the state’s consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests and his clear path as the party nominee following a June primary victory backed by President Trump. The open seat, created by Markwayne Mullin’s departure for a Cabinet role, drew limited Democratic investment, while Hern’s congressional record, name recognition in the Tulsa area, and fundraising edge have consolidated support. Thomas secured the Democratic nomination in an August runoff but faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans have held the Senate seat for decades. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or shifts in national conditions could still alter the trajectory before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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