Oklahoma's solidly Republican electorate and voting patterns have positioned the GOP nominee as the heavy favorite in the November 2026 general election for the open Senate seat. The state’s consistent support for Republican candidates in federal races, combined with race ratings classifying the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, underpins trader consensus around a 92 percent probability for the Republican outcome. An upcoming June 16 primary features a frontrunner backed by early endorsements and polling leads, further consolidating the path to a general-election advantage. Limited Democratic field activity and fundraising trails reinforce the lopsided positioning. A late primary surprise producing a weaker nominee or an unforeseen national political shift remain the main variables that could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,591 交易量
$14,591 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
$14,591 交易量
$14,591 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,923 交易量
92%
民主党
$5,669 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's solidly Republican electorate and voting patterns have positioned the GOP nominee as the heavy favorite in the November 2026 general election for the open Senate seat. The state’s consistent support for Republican candidates in federal races, combined with race ratings classifying the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, underpins trader consensus around a 92 percent probability for the Republican outcome. An upcoming June 16 primary features a frontrunner backed by early endorsements and polling leads, further consolidating the path to a general-election advantage. Limited Democratic field activity and fundraising trails reinforce the lopsided positioning. A late primary surprise producing a weaker nominee or an unforeseen national political shift remain the main variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$14,591结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's solidly Republican electorate and voting patterns have positioned the GOP nominee as the heavy favorite in the November 2026 general election for the open Senate seat. The state’s consistent support for Republican candidates in federal races, combined with race ratings classifying the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, underpins trader consensus around a 92 percent probability for the Republican outcome. An upcoming June 16 primary features a frontrunner backed by early endorsements and polling leads, further consolidating the path to a general-election advantage. Limited Democratic field activity and fundraising trails reinforce the lopsided positioning. A late primary surprise producing a weaker nominee or an unforeseen national political shift remain the main variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$14,591结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's solidly Republican electorate and voting patterns have positioned the GOP nominee as the heavy favorite in the November 2026 general election for the open Senate seat. The state’s consistent support for Republican candidates in federal races, combined with race ratings classifying the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, underpins trader consensus around a 92 percent probability for the Republican outcome. An upcoming June 16 primary features a frontrunner backed by early endorsements and polling leads, further consolidating the path to a general-election advantage. Limited Democratic field activity and fundraising trails reinforce the lopsided positioning. A late primary surprise producing a weaker nominee or an unforeseen national political shift remain the main variables that could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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