Oklahoma's entrenched Republican advantage in federal elections shapes the current trader consensus favoring a GOP Senate winner. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since 1994, and recent primary polling shows Republican candidates consolidating support ahead of the June 16 vote while multiple Democratic contenders split a smaller base. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Republican, reflecting consistent voting patterns in presidential and Senate races. A commanding lead could face pressure only from an unforeseen scandal affecting the eventual GOP nominee, a sharp national shift in midterm turnout, or an unusually strong Democratic performance that exceeds historical benchmarks in the state.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,959 交易量
$16,959 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
$16,959 交易量
$16,959 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$10,970 交易量
92%
民主党
$5,988 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's entrenched Republican advantage in federal elections shapes the current trader consensus favoring a GOP Senate winner. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since 1994, and recent primary polling shows Republican candidates consolidating support ahead of the June 16 vote while multiple Democratic contenders split a smaller base. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Republican, reflecting consistent voting patterns in presidential and Senate races. A commanding lead could face pressure only from an unforeseen scandal affecting the eventual GOP nominee, a sharp national shift in midterm turnout, or an unusually strong Democratic performance that exceeds historical benchmarks in the state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$16,959结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's entrenched Republican advantage in federal elections shapes the current trader consensus favoring a GOP Senate winner. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since 1994, and recent primary polling shows Republican candidates consolidating support ahead of the June 16 vote while multiple Democratic contenders split a smaller base. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Republican, reflecting consistent voting patterns in presidential and Senate races. A commanding lead could face pressure only from an unforeseen scandal affecting the eventual GOP nominee, a sharp national shift in midterm turnout, or an unusually strong Democratic performance that exceeds historical benchmarks in the state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$16,959结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's entrenched Republican advantage in federal elections shapes the current trader consensus favoring a GOP Senate winner. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since 1994, and recent primary polling shows Republican candidates consolidating support ahead of the June 16 vote while multiple Democratic contenders split a smaller base. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Republican, reflecting consistent voting patterns in presidential and Senate races. A commanding lead could face pressure only from an unforeseen scandal affecting the eventual GOP nominee, a sharp national shift in midterm turnout, or an unusually strong Democratic performance that exceeds historical benchmarks in the state.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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