Market icon

2026年有多少共和党众议员没有参选?

Market icon

2026年有多少共和党众议员没有参选?

36–39 38.3%

32–35 31%

40–43 16.0%

28–31 16%

Polymarket
NEW

36–39 38.3%

32–35 31%

40–43 16.0%

28–31 16%

Polymarket
NEW

<24

$0 交易量

5%

24–27

$0 交易量

2%

28–31

$0 交易量

16%

32–35

$0 交易量

31%

36–39

$0 交易量

38%

40–43

$1,826 交易量

16%

44人及以上

$0 交易量

15%

The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.

For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)

Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.

This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,826
结束日期
Aug 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026. For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if: • They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat • They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat • They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus) Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market. This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年有多少共和党众议员没有参选?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"36–39",概率为 38%,其次是"32–35",概率为 31%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 38¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 38%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"2026年有多少共和党众议员没有参选?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Dec 12, 2025上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"2026年有多少共和党众议员没有参选?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年有多少共和党众议员没有参选?"的当前领先者是"36–39",概率为 38%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 38%。紧随其后的结果是"32–35",概率为 31%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年有多少共和党众议员没有参选?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。