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icon for H.R. 22 （ SAVE Act ）于2026年签署成为法律？
政治·国会

H.R. 22 （ SAVE Act ）于2026年签署成为法律？

icon for H.R. 22 （ SAVE Act ）于2026年签署成为法律？
政治·国会

H.R. 22 （ SAVE Act ）于2026年签署成为法律？

是

7% 概率
Polymarket

$190,071 交易量

是

7% 概率
Polymarket

$190,071 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**H.R. 22, the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act, passed the House multiple times—including April 2025 and February 2026—but has repeatedly stalled in the Senate.** The legislation, which would mandate documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, reached the upper chamber after near party-line House votes yet faces a 60-vote filibuster threshold. With Republicans holding 53 seats, the measure has lacked the cross-aisle support needed for cloture despite repeated attempts to revive it through amendments or reconciliation. **Senate inaction persists into August 2026 amid competing priorities such as appropriations deadlines and the August recess.** Recent efforts to embed SAVE Act provisions in the FY2027 National Defense Authorization Act and other vehicles in July also failed to advance. These procedural and vote-count barriers have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability that the bill will not become law before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$190,071
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**H.R. 22, the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act, passed the House multiple times—including April 2025 and February 2026—but has repeatedly stalled in the Senate.** The legislation, which would mandate documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, reached the upper chamber after near party-line House votes yet faces a 60-vote filibuster threshold. With Republicans holding 53 seats, the measure has lacked the cross-aisle support needed for cloture despite repeated attempts to revive it through amendments or reconciliation. **Senate inaction persists into August 2026 amid competing priorities such as appropriations deadlines and the August recess.** Recent efforts to embed SAVE Act provisions in the FY2027 National Defense Authorization Act and other vehicles in July also failed to advance. These procedural and vote-count barriers have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability that the bill will not become law before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$190,071
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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常见问题

"H.R. 22 （ SAVE Act ）于2026年签署成为法律？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2026年《H.R. 22（SAVE法案）》是否签署成为法律？"，概率为 7%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 7¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 7%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"H.R. 22 （ SAVE Act ）于2026年签署成为法律？"已产生 $190.1K 的总交易量（自Feb 3, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"H.R. 22 （ SAVE Act ）于2026年签署成为法律？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"H.R. 22 （ SAVE Act ）于2026年签署成为法律？"的当前领先者是"2026年《H.R. 22（SAVE法案）》是否签署成为法律？"，仅有 7%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势，交易者认为这高度不确定，可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新，请将本页加入书签。

"H.R. 22 （ SAVE Act ）于2026年签署成为法律？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。